Home NBA Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets Free Pick 02/11/20

Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets Free Pick 02/11/20

The Boston Celtics (37-15) look to continue their seven-game winning streak against the Houston Rockets (33-20) at Toyota Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 231.5 points with Houston set as a 3-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 11, 2020, and it can be seen on TNT.

Boston Celtics vs. Houston Rockets Odds Preview

The last time the Celtics played, they edged the Oklahoma City Thunder, 112-111, but were unable to cover as 1.5-point favorites. With 26 points and 11 rebounds, Boston’s Jayson Tatum had a solid performance. Boston played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 30.4 (above their season average of 23.8) and a turnover percentage of 8.6 (better than their season average of 11.7). For those same stats, Oklahoma City was 23.5 and 9.2, respectively. The two teams combined to score 223 points, which came in over the O/U total of 219.

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The Rockets failed to cover as 3-point favorites in their 114-113 loss to the Utah Jazz in their last game. With 28 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists, James Harden led the way for Houston with his second triple-double this year. Utah did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (15-18; 83.3 percent). Houston, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 5.6 (better than their season average of 12.1). The two teams collectively scored 227 points, which finished under the O/U total of 233.

This is the first time these teams will battle this year. The Rockets won both contests played against each other last season. In the most recent matchup, Houston won 115-104. The Rockets played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculous effective field goal percentage of 0.606 and a turnover percentage of 11.5. The Celtics were 0.532 and 12.7, respectively, for those same stats.

Of Boston’s 52 games, 27 have finished under the O/U total, while 30 of Houston’s 53 games have finished under the projected point total. The Celtics hold a sizable advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 37-15 SU and 31-20-1 ATS, while the Rockets are 33-20 SU and 26-27 ATS.

The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the prolific offense of Houston takes on the elite defense of Boston. The Rockets rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while the Celtics are third in defensive efficiency.

Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets Free Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Celtics rank fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while the Rockets rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).

Boston ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Houston ranks 15th (7.8).

Boston ranks eighth in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while Houston ranks 26th (46.8).

Boston averages 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. Houston ranks 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).

On the road, Boston is 15-9-1 ATS with 15 unders and 10 overs.

Houston is 13-13 ATS at home with 13 overs and 13 unders.

In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Boston is 12-2 and Houston is 3-0.

When scoring above 100 points, the Rockets are 33-17 and the Celtics are 36-9.

The Rockets rank first in three pointers attempted per game (43.8) while the Celtics rank 15th (33.8).

Boston ranks seventh in fast break points per game (15.1) while Houston ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (15.4).

The Celtics rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.6) while the Rockets rank 25th (25.7).

The Celtics rank sixth in blocks per game (5.7) while the Rockets rank 16th in blocks allowed per game (5.0).

Boston ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.9) while Houston ranks 22nd (51.4).

Bettings Trends:

Houston is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Boston is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Rockets have been outscored by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Houston has defeated opponents by an average of 3.6 points.

During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.6 points per game (0.1 above their season average).

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