Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds Pick 02/03/20

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The Atlanta Hawks (13-37) will be at home in State Farm Arena when they challenge the Boston Celtics (33-15). Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 3, 2020.

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Celtics won big over the Philadelphia 76ers in their last matchup, 116-95, comfortably covering as 2-point favorites. Jaylen Brown was the top scorer from either team with 32 points on 13-for-23 shooting. Boston played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 11.7) and a free throw rate of 0.400 (above their season average of 0.199). Philadelphia recorded marks of 12.5 and 0.310, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 211 points, which was just over the O/U total of 210.5.

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The last time the Hawks were in action, they were thoroughly outplayed by the Dallas Mavericks, 123-100, and failed to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. John Collins was Atlanta’s leading scorer with 26 points on 11-for-20 shooting. Dallas made 20 of their 39 three pointers (51.3 percent). Atlanta, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of converting from the charity stripe (16-21; 76.2 percent). Combined, the two clubs scored 223 points, which finished under the O/U total of 236.

The ineffective offense of Atlanta will face off against the top-notch defense of Boston. The Hawks currently rank 30th in offensive efficiency, while the Celtics are third in defensive efficiency. The Celtics figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.

Of Boston’s 48 games, 26 have finished under the O/U total, while 28 of Atlanta’s 50 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Celtics have a significant advantage. They are 33-15 SU and 29-18-1 ATS, while the Hawks are 13-37 SU and 23-27 ATS.

These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 215 points, which was under the projected point total of 224. The Celtics won 109-106, but were unable to cover as 11-point favorites. The Celtics played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 and a free throw rate of 0.226. The Hawks were 12.5 and 0.129, respectively, for those same stats. Brown put up a double-double in the victory with 24 points and 10 rebounds.

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Celtics average 18.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Hawks rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.9).

Boston ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (12.6) while Atlanta ranks 26th (14.5).

Boston ranks ninth in rebounds allowed per game (44.0) while Atlanta ranks 27th (47.1).

Atlanta averages 35.5 three pointers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Boston ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (33.7).

Atlanta is 15-9 ATS at home, while Boston is 14-8-1 ATS on the road.

The Celtics have 15 unders and 8 overs in 23 road games.

The Hawks have 12 overs and 12 unders in 24 home games.

Atlanta is 4-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Boston is 12-2.

The Celtics are 32-9 when they score over 100 points, while the Hawks are 13-30.

The Celtics average 15.4 fast break points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Hawks rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).

Boston ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.0) while Atlanta ranks 28th (53.3).

The Celtics rank third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Hawks rank 26th (8.9).

The Celtics rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.9) while the Hawks rank 16th (24.6).

Boston averages 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 29th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).

Bettings Trends:

Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Boston is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, down from 9.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.2 points per game (1.1 below their season average).