The Diamond Head Classic showdown between the Boise State Broncos (7-5) and the UTEP Miners (9-3) will take place at Stan Sheriff Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 134 points with Boise State set as a 2-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 25, 2019, and it can be seen on ESPNU.
Boise State Broncos vs. UTEP Miners Betting Preview
The Broncos defeated the Portland Pilots in their last contest, 85-69, covering as 11.5-point favorites. Derrick Alston Jr. was the top scorer from either team with 32 points on 10-for-18 shooting. Boise State dominated every stat category in the game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 32.3 (above their season average of 21.9) and a free throw rate of 0.351 (above their season average of 0.266). Portland was 12.5 and 0.196, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 154 points, which was well over the O/U total of 136.5.
In the Miners’ last outing, they beat the Ball State Cardinals, 71-70. With 16 points on 5-for-11 shooting, Bryson Williams was the top scorer from either team. The Miners, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.2, had an absurd mark of 46.2 and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.566 (above their season average of 0.501).
Second-chance points might be rare for UTEP in this contest. The Miners rank 259th in offensive rebounding percentage (25.6 percent), while Boise State ranks 16th in defensive rebounding percentage (78.1 percent). Furthermore, the Broncos rank 20th in turnover percentage (16.3 percent), while the Miners rank 38th in opponents’ turnover percentage (23.6 percent).
Of Boise State’s 11 games with betting action, six have finished over the projected point total, while 5 of UTEP’s 8 games have finished under the projected point total. The Miners hold the clear advantage straight up (SU) (9-3 vs. 7-5), but the Broncos have been superior against the spread (ATS) (7-4 vs. 5-3).
Boise State Broncos vs. UTEP Miners Odds Prediction
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – UTEP, ATS Winner – UTEP, O/U – Over
UTEP ranks 20th in assists allowed per game (9.5) while Boise State ranks 91st (12.0).
The Broncos allow the 30th-fewest blocks per game (2.4) while the Miners rank 60th (2.9).
Boise State and UTEP average 19.3 three pointers allowed per game, which ranks 48th in the nation.
UTEP is 2-2 ATS with 3 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Over its past five games, Boise State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Miners’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 6.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Broncos have scored an average of 75.2 points per game (3.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (3.4 below their season average).