Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Pick 01/11/20

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The No. 7 San Diego State Aztecs (16-0, 5-0 MWC) are off to a hot start and will try to remain undefeated when they challenge the Boise State Broncos (11-6, 3-2 MWC) at Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl. Action starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 11, 2020.

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Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

In the Broncos’ last game, they beat the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels, 73-66. Derrick Alston Jr. was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 7-for-19 shooting. The Broncos knocked down 23 of their 31 free throws (74.2 percent) and held the Runnin’ Rebels to an effective field goal percentage of 0.426 (below their season average of 0.492).

The Aztecs hope to maintain momentum after thoroughly outplaying the Wyoming Cowboys in their last matchup, 72-52. San Diego State was lifted by Malachi Flynn, who was the game’s high scorer with 19 points on 7-for-15 shooting. San Diego State played a nearly flawless game. They had a fantastic effective field goal percentage of 0.604 (above their season average of 0.531) and a free throw rate of 0.292 (above their season average of 0.206). Wyoming was 0.382 and 0.255, respectively, for those same stats.

This is the first time these teams will meet this year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Aztecs won the last contest 71-65. San Diego State out-rebounded Boise State. The Aztecs had 17 offensive rebounds and 43 total rebounds, while the Broncos had nine and 25, respectively.

San Diego State should have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Aztecs rank 17th in offensive efficiency, while the Broncos rank 132nd in defensive efficiency. Furthermore, the Broncos rank 34th in turnover percentage (16.7 percent), while the Aztecs rank 56th in opponents’ turnover percentage (22.7 percent).

Boise State at San Diego State Prediction

Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Aztecs rank 49th in steals allowed per game (5.6) while the Broncos rank 70th (6.1).

San Diego State is 14th in the country with 2.2 blocks allowed per game while Boise State is 34th with 2.6 blocks allowed per game.

San Diego State ranks 40th in assists per game (15.7) while Boise State ranks 150th (12.8).

The Aztecs rank 34th in rebounds allowed per game (31.5) while the Broncos rank 90th (33.6).

Boise State averages 23.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 93rd in the nation. San Diego State ranks 118th in three pointers allowed per game (21.6).

Bettings Trends:

The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.4, down from 18.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Broncos have scored an average of 75.8 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.4 points per game (1.1 below their season average).

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