Betting on the Over/Under – West Ham vs. Manchester City 4/29/2018


The Citizens are new Premier League champions, and they travel to Olympic Stadium without any pressure on their shoulders, while West ham is still close to a danger zone, so the Hammers have a huge motive to upset the Citizens in front of the home fans. The clash between West Ham and Manchester City is set for this Sunday, April 29th, 2018, and the bookies favor the visitors at -315 to get a win, so let’s see what can we expect from these two sides.

Team News, Updates and Facts

WEST HAM is currently in the 15th spot of the English Premier League table with 35 points, an 8-11-15 record, and a 42:63 goal difference which is exactly three goals per contest on average, six points above the relegation zone, so the Hammers are still under the pressure. In the last five matches, they’ve earned just one victory over Southampton 3-0 at home, along with two draws, two losses, and a goal difference of 6:9, while three out of these five encounters had at least three goals in the total.

At home, West Ham lost only one out of the previous five games, recording two wins and two stalemates in the process, while in 16 Premier League matches at Olympic Stadium, the Hammers have recorded six wins, five draws, and five losses with a goal difference of 20:21. For the next fixture against the Citizens, the manager David Moyes will have some problems to field his best eleven, as midfielders Pedro Obiang (knee) and Michail Antonio (hamstring), and the defender Winston Reid (knee) are all sidelined due to injuries.

On the other side, MANCHESTER CITY has already clinched the Premier League title with 16 points lead ahead of their city-rival Manchester United in the second spot of the table, so the Citizens can play in a relaxed manner all their remaining matches until the end of the season. In the previous five rounds, they’ve recorded four wins and one defeat with a 15:5 goal difference, while four out of these five tilts had at least four goals on the scoreboard, including that 3-2 defeat against Manchester United at home three weeks ago.

On the road, the Citizens have won four games in a row against Tottenham (3-1), Everton (3-1), Stoke City (2-0), and Arsenal (3-0), proving they are way above the competition in the Premier League this season, and in 17 away matches thus far, they have a 14-2-1 record with a 40:12 goal difference. The manager Pep Guardiola can mix up things a bit in his starting eleven, while the striker Sergio Aguero (30 goals in 39 apps) is ruled out for the season after a knee surgery.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 3 Goals @ -125

Under 3 Goals @ +105

Why Bet on the Under?

The Hammers are still battling against the relegation, so they will try their best to earn a positive result against the Citizens, although they are +235 underdogs to avoid the defeat on this one. It means they will have to defend properly, trying to somehow limit the visitors’ deadly attack, which could lead this game in the under. The Hammers defense was pretty fragile this season on the road conceding 42 goals on 18 occasions, but at Olympic Stadium it was a quite different story, allowing 21 goals in 16 matches, while nine out of these 16 affairs had less than three goals in the total.

Why Bet on the Over?

The numbers are mostly suggesting we could see at least three goals on the scoreboard here, as 25 out of 34 Manchester City’s matches, and 20 out of 34 West Ham’s games this season had three goals in the total or more. Likewise, the Citizens’ previous four Premier League games were finished in the over, and new champions will certainly continue to play offensively in the remaining fixtures, while it’s a nice chance for the second-choice players to prove their worth to the team. In the first H2H meeting of the season, the Citizens have beaten the Hammers 2-1 at Etihad, and the last six H2H encounters had at least three goals in the total.

West Ham vs. Manchester City Over/Under Betting Pick

The hosts will probably start cautiously, waiting for their opportunities on the counter against the relaxed Citizens, so I think they could find the back of the net here. However, the visitors are a heavyweight team, and the hosts will have a difficult time to keep their net intact, so the fans should see some goals on both sides of the pitch.

Therefore, I’m backing the over on this one, while you can check out all other lines and odds for West Ham versus Manchester City clash on BetDSI Sportsbook.

MY PICK: Over 3 Goals (-125)