Betting on the Over/Under – Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig 4/15/2018


After finishing their Europa League journey on last Thursday, RB Leipzig continues fighting for the Champions League place in the German Bundesliga, and this Sunday, April 15th, 2018, the Red Bulls meet Werder Bremen at Weserstadion in Bremen as +145 favorites to win the game. On the other side, the hosts are safe and sound at the 12th spot of the Bundesliga table, they can play in a relaxed manner which promises a lot of entertainment on Sunday, so let’s see what can we expect from these two teams.

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WERDER BREMEN is playing in a great form since the winter break, recording six wins, three stalemates and three losses, while they’ve won three out of their last four games along with a 2-1 defeat at Hannover in the previous round of the German Bundesliga, despite numerous scoring chances to grab at least a draw. They are currently in the 12th spot of the Bundesliga table with 36 points, a 9-9-11 record, and a goal difference of 33:35, nine points above the danger zone, so it seems like Werder Bremen will play in the top tier next season.

At Weserstadion, Werder Bremen won four games in a row, scoring nine goals in the process, and conceding three in a return, while they are unbeaten in ten straight encounters on the home soil in all competitions, keeping their net intact on four occasions. For the clash against the Red Bulls, the manager Florian Kohfeldt will miss the forward Fin Bartels (two goals and three assists in 14 apps this season) due to an Achilles tendon rupture, while the left-back Ludwig Augustinsson (hamstring), and the striker Aron Johannsson (malleolar) are both still doubtful.

RB LEIPZIG lost two games in a row, and both these losses were quite painful for the Red Bulls. On last Thursday, they were heavily beaten by Marseille 5-2 in the second leg of the UEFA Europa League Quarter-Finals, so now the Red Bulls will have to search for the Champions League place through the German Bundesliga. However, on last weekend, RB Leipzig was smashed by Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 at home, and they’ve dropped to the sixth spot of the Bundesliga table with 46 points, a 13-7-9 record, and a 44:41 goal difference, two points behind Leverkusen in the fourth spot.

A defeat against Werder Bremen is not an option for RB Leipzig, while in 14 Bundesliga games on the road they’ve recorded five victories, three draws, and six losses with a 16:21 goal difference. The manager Ralph Hasenhuttl doesn’t have any injury worries, but there will be some tired legs among his squad after the match against Marseille, while some guys are exhausted mentally, for sure.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 2.5 Goals @ -135

Under 2.5 Goals @ +115

Why Bet on the Under?

Werder Bremen prefers an attacking style of football, but a half of their 14 home matches were finished in the under, and four of them had less than two goals in the total. It is a similar case on the other side, as seven out of 14 RB Leipzig’s away games were ended in the under, but three of them had less than two goals in the total. Earlier in the season, the Red Bulls have beaten Werder Bremen 2-0 at home, bagging the second goal in the 87th minute of the match.

Why Bet on the Over?

Although 15 out of 29 Werder Bremen’s Bundesliga games this season were ended in the under, they are on fire in the last few weeks, as their previous five encounters had at least three goals on the scoreboard. In the last three RB Leipzig’s games, we saw more than two goals in the total, while 17 out of their 29 encounters in this campaign were finished in the over, so these numbers are suggesting that we could get a couple of goals here, while the bookies set the price on both teams to score at -170.

Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig Over/Under Betting Pick

The hosts will certainly try to get a positive result here and cement their place in the Bundesliga for the next season, while RB Leipzig just has to look for a victory, as a potential draw could cost them a lot. The fatigue could be a big issue for the visitors, so they will try to slow down the tempo, and if both sides fail to break the deadlock early in the game, this one could be easily finished in the under.

However, Werder Bremen managed to score in six straight Bundesliga games, and I believe they will find the net against the Red Bulls, so I’ll go with the over, but you can check out all other lines and markets on BetDSI Sportsbook.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-135)