Betting on the Over/Under – VFL Wolfsburg vs. Schalke 04 3/17/2018


While Schalke 04 is playing in a great form, sitting at the second spot of the Bundesliga table, VFL Wolfsburg is currently just above the danger zone, so their head-to-head meeting set for this Saturday, March 17th, 2018, at Volkswagen Arena in Wolfsburg could be crucial for both teams. The bookies set Schalke 04 as +120 favorites to win this clash, while they are looking for a tight match as the markets on Over/Under 2.5 Goals are set at +120/-145, so let’s see what can we expect from these two sides, and how to beat the line here.

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VFL WOLFSBURG has earned just one point in the previous five rounds of the German Bundesliga, recording four losses against Hoffenheim (3-0), Leverkusen (2-1), Bayern Munich (2-1), and Werder Bremen (3-1), and a 1-1 draw against Mainz on the road. The Wolves are currently laying at the 15th spot of the Bundesliga table with 25 points and a 28:36 goal difference, the same number of points as Mainz in the 16th spot, so they need to collect some points as soon as possible.

In 13 matches at Volkswagen Arena the Wolves have recorded two wins, seven draws, and four losses with a 18:20 goal difference, while they’ve earned just two draws in their last five matches on the home soil along with three defeats, although they’ve managed to score in each of these five tilts. For the next game against Schalke, the manager Bruno Labbadia has a lot of problems to pick up his starting eleven, as Divock Origi (foot), Ignacio Camacho (training deficit), Sebastian Jung (muscle), Yannick Gerhardt (knee), and Marcel Tisserand are all doubtful due to injuries.

On the other side, SCHALKE 04 is playing in a brilliant form in the last few weeks, winning four matches in a row against Mainz (1-0), Hertha BSC (1-0), Leverkusen (2-0), and Hoffenheim (2-1), and showing some remarkable improvement at the defensive end. The Miners are currently sitting at the second spot of the Bundesliga table with 46 points and a 40:30 goal difference, one point ahead of Dortmund in the third, and two points ahead of Leverkusen in the fourth spot, while the fifth-placed Eintracht Frankfurt is four points behind.

In the previous five matches on the road, the Miners have recorded three victories and two losses with a 7:5 goal difference, keeping their net intact in all these three wins, while they’ve managed to score in each of their previous ten away matches. The manager Domenico Tedesco doesn’t have any injury worries among the squad, so he can field his best eleven this Saturday against the Wolves.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 2.5 Goals @ +120

Under 2.5 Goals @ -145

Why Bet on the Under?

Both these teams finished the majority of their Bundesliga matches in the under – Wolfsburg 14 out of 26, and Schalke 15 out of 26, while eight out of 13 Schalke’s away matches had less than three goals in the total. Likewise, Schalke 04 has finished the last three encounters in the under without conceding a goal, and their defense seems pretty nice in the last couple of weeks. Another good reason to consider betting on the under is the importance of this clash, as neither of these two teams can afford a defeat, so we’ll probably see a cautious approach from both clubs.

Why Bet on the Over?

Four out of the previous five Wolfsburg’s games were ended in the over, while three out of their last five home matches had at least three goals in the total, and in all these five tilts at Volkswagen Arena, we saw both sides on the scoresheet. Likewise, the majority of Schalke’s matches when they allow opponents to score were finished in the over, and Wolfsburg has managed to find the net in each but one home game this season.

VFL Wolfsburg vs. Schalke 04 Over/Under Betting Pick

The hosts will have to attack here, desperately needing three points in their battle for survival in the Bundesliga, so I believe they will score against tough Schalke’s defense who’s unbeatable for three rounds in a row. The opening goal should change the rhythm of the match, and we could easily see a couple of more as both sides will look for three points.

I will go with the over in this one, as the market is a quite tempting one, while you can check out the remaining lines and odds on BetDSI Sportsbook.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (+120)

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