Betting on the Over/Under – Udinese vs. Lazio 4/8/2018


While Udinese is on a terrible run losing seven games in a row in the Italian Serie A, Lazio is bravely fighting to qualify for the UEFA Champions League next season, so their head-to-head meeting set for this Sunday, April 8th, 2018, at Dacia Arena in Udine should bring a plenty of excitements. The visitors are set as -125 favorites to win the game, but the hosts desperately need to put an end on their losing streak, so let’s see what can we expect from these two sides on Sunday.

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UDINESE was beaten seven times in a row, conceding exactly two goals in each of these seven games, while failing to find the net five times in the process. Four out of these seven losses came on the road, while the Little Zebras dropped to the 13th spot of the Italian Serie A table with 33 points and a 38:46 goal difference, nine points above the relegation zone, so they need to start collecting points on a regular basis if they want to avoid a serious battle for a survival in the top tier.

The Little Zebras are winless in five straight games on the home soil, recording two draws against SPAL (1-1) and AC Milan (1-1), and three losses against AS Roma (2-0), Sassuolo (2-1), and Fiorentina (2-0). For the next game with Lazio, the manager Massimo Oddo will miss the versatile midfielder Valon Behrami (muscle), while a box-to-box midfielder Seko Fofana is still doubtful, also with a muscle injury.

On the other side, LAZIO is undefeated for six games in a row in all competitions, including a heavy 6-2 victory over Benevento at home in the previous round of the Italian Serie A, while they’ve beaten Salzburg 4-2 on the home soil in the first leg of the Europa League Quarter-Finals on last Thursday. The Eagles are currently sitting at the fifth spot of the Serie A table with 57 points and a 73:39 goal difference, two points behind Inter in the fourth place that leads to the Champions League next season.

In their last five encounters on the road, the Eagles have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats with a goal difference of 12:10, keeping their net clean just once in the process, while all these five tilts had at least three goals in the total. For the game against Udinese, the manager Simone Inzaghi can field his best eleven, as he doesn’t have serious injury worries among the squad.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 2.5 Goals @ -135

Under 2.5 Goals @ +110

Why Bet on the Under?

The hosts’ inefficiency should be the main reason why should you consider putting your money on the under here, as they’ve scored only two goals in their previous seven fixtures, failing to find the net on five occasions in the process. Likewise, five out of these seven tilts had less than three goals on the scoreboard, every time when Udinese failed to find the net.

Why Bet on the Over?

On the other hand, both times when Udinese managed to score we saw at least three goals in the total, and they will surely have a chance against fragile Lazio’s defense, as the visitors conceded 22 goals in their 15 games on the road, while just one out of these 15 matches had less than 3 goals in the total. Also, 24 out of Lazio’s 30 Serie A games this season were finished in the over.

Udinese vs. Lazio Over/Under Betting Pick

The Eagles have beaten the Little Zebras 3-0 in their first head-to-head duel of the season at Stadio Olimpico in Rome, they are a better team than Udinese, for sure, but after some poor performance in the last few weeks, the Little Zebras will just have to bounce back at some point. The clash against the Eagles is a good chance to score some goals and regain the confidence, considering there will be some tired legs among Lazio’s team, while the visitors should continue with their high-scoring performance on the road.

Therefore, I will go with the over in this one, while you can check out all other lines and markets at BetDSI Sportsbook.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-135)