The penultimate round of the Italian Serie A is scheduled over the weekend, and while the leader Juventus needs one more point to secure the title, their first follower Napoli will travel to Genoa to face Sampdoria at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on this Sunday, May 13th, 2018. The bookies set Napoli as big -165 favorites to win this match, and they expect to see some goals as the markets on the Over/Under 3.5 Goals are set at +105/-125, so let’s see what can we look after in this game.
Team News, Updates and Facts
SAMPDORIA is currently in the ninth spot of the Italian Serie A with 54 points, a 16-6-14 record, and a goal difference of 55:55 which is 3.05 goals per contest on average, while 23 out of their 36 games had at least three goals in the total. With six points behind the sixth-placed AC Milan and two rounds more to go, Sampdoria has almost lost all chances to play in the UEFA Europa League next season, but they will certainly try to cheer up their fans in the last game of the season at Luigi Ferraris.
La Samp has a 2-0-3 record in the last five Serie A games, losing all three matches on the road against Sassuolo (1-0), Lazio (4-0), and Juventus (3-0), while at home, Sampdoria has won two matches in a row against Cagliari (4-1) and Bologna (1-0). They are the third-best home team in the league with a 12-3-3 record and a 36:18 goal difference, and for the next clash with Napoli, the manager Marco Giampaolo can count on all players, besides the left-back Nicola Murru who’s struggling with a knee injury.
On the other side, NAPOLI is in the second spot of the Serie A table at the moment with 85 points, a 26-7-3 record, and a goal difference of 73:28 which is 2.8 goals per contest on average, six points behind the leader Juventus, and twelve points ahead of AS Roma in the third place. These two teams will lock horns this weekend, so Napoli desperately needs a victory over La Samp in case that AS Roma beat Juve and keep the championship race alive.
The Little Donkeys have earned just one point out of their last two games, losing 3-0 to Fiorentina on the road, and playing a disappointing 2-2 stalemate with Torino at home in the previous round. The loss against Fiorentina was their first of the season on the road, but the Little Donkeys have won just one out of their previous five games away from home. For the next clash at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, the manager Maurizio Sarri doesn’t have serious injury problems among the squad, so he can field his best eleven.
Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook
Over 3.5 Goals @ +105
Under 3.5 Goals @ -125
Why Bet on the Under?
Napoli has won one out of the last five away matches, and it was a 1-0 victory against the leader Juve, while the Little Donkeys have failed to score in three out of these five tilts, bagging just two goals in the process. Likewise, none of these five matches had more than three goals in the total, whilst six out of Napoli’s 18 encounters on the road had at least four goals in the total.
Why Bet on the Over?
Sampdoria’s home matches are quite efficient, as seven out of 18 tilts had at least four goals on the scoreboard. Also, 15 out of their 36 Serie A matches had more than three goals in the total, and the same case is with Napoli, while both teams are topping the league table in this category. Another reason why should you consider betting on the over here is a head-to-head record, as five out of the previous six H2H meetings had at least four goals in the total, and in all these six affairs both sides have managed to find the back of the net.
Sampdoria vs. Napoli Over/Under Betting Pick
The visitors will have to attack here, as only a victory could keep him in the race with Juventus, so I believe we will see an entertaining game with a lot of scoring opportunities on both sides of the pitch. Sampdoria is a pretty tough opponent in front of the home fans, and I think they will find the net against Napoli, so I’m backing the over, but you can check all other lines and markets on BetDSI Sportsbook.
MY PICK: Over 3.5 Goals (+105)