Betting on the Over/Under – Liverpool vs. West Ham United 8/12/2018


Liverpool was quite active in the summer transfer window as Jurgen Klopp spent over $200 million on reinforcements in order to enter the title race with Manchester City and improve their last year’s position when they ended in the 4th place. The Champions League final and an unlucky defeat to Real Madrid still hurts and the main culprit for that loss, Loris Karius now must settle with the No. 2 role as the Reds brought Alisson from Roma. Liverpool kept the core of squad as only one first-team player left the club – Emre Can.

However, Klopp bought the midfielder Naby Keita from Leipzig and Fabinho from Monaco to bolster his team, while the German coach also added Xherdan Shaqiri to serve as a backup to Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane. The Reds are looking much stronger than last year and they are ready to compete for the title after a strong pre-season and some excellent displays against Man United and Napoli, and they are hoping for a positive start in front of their own fans at Anfield.

On the other hand, West Ham also had a busy summer as they started rebuilding the team with the appointment of Manuel Pellegrini who managed to strengthen the squad with Felipe Anderson, Issa Diop, Andriy Yarmolenko, Lukasz Fabianski, Carlos Sanchez, Lucas Perez, Fabian Balbuena, Jack Wilshere, and Ryan Fredericks. The Hammers did spend a lot of money on arrivals, but now they can battle for the European place and forget the 13th place from a season ago. Cheikhou Kouyate is the only first-team regular who left the club and joined Crystal Palace, so the fans have every reason to feel optimistic about the upcoming campaign.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook

Over 3.5 goals @ +120

Under 3.5 goals @ -133

Why bet on the Under?

Liverpool improved defensively since Virgil Van Dijk’s arrival and they are not leaky in the back as they were in the past few years, so the clean sheet for the hosts is on the cards here, which I can see as the only reason for playing under here. Another reason could be the fact that this is the first competitive match of the season for both teams and the bit of rustiness in the players’ legs could occur, but I believe they are suitably prepared for this encounter, so betting on under is not such a good option here, especially considering the recent H2H record.

Why bet on the Over?

Liverpool has one of the most exciting and prolific attacks in Europe that is capable of scoring bunch of goals against any rival in England and they proved to be lethal in the pre-season as well, so I don’t think the Reds will have problems scoring three or four goals on this one. West Ham still needs to find a proper rhythm, but they can be dangerous, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they manage to bag a goal or two. Klopp likes to play a free-flowing, attacking style and watching Liverpool is rarely uninteresting, so I am anticipating a quite the spectacle at Anfield on Sunday. Salah, Mane, and Firmino are looking sharp and eager to continue where they left off last season, and they will likely run the game and produce plenty of goalscoring chances and hopefully, goals.

Liverpool vs. West Ham Betting Pick

Liverpool scored 84 league goals in the previous campaign, 2.20 goals per match, as only Man City scored more, while West Ham conceded 68 goals, the worst defensive team in the Premier League in 2017/18. These numbers are suggesting a bunch of goals here, and when we take the recent H2H record into consideration, at least four goals are expected. Liverpool won both encounters last year with identical, 4-1 result, while the previous four H2H tilts ended with 4+ goals.

MY PICK: Over 3.5 goals (+120)