Betting on the Over/Under – Leicester City vs. Southampton 4/19/2018

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Southampton is on the verge of relegation, and their next fixture against Leicester City at King Power Stadium in Leicester on this Thursday, April 19th, 2018, could be decisive for their future in the English Premier League. The bookies set the hosts as slight +135 favorites to win the game, but the Saints just have to push forward, so we expect to see plenty of excitements in this one, while the market on both teams to score is set at -135.

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LEICESTER CITY was beaten two times in a row, losing to Burnley 2-1 on the road, and Newcastle 2-1 at home, while they’ve earned seven points out of their last five games, scoring nine goals in the process and conceding six in a return. The Foxes are currently sitting at the eighth spot of the Premier League table with 43 points, an 11-10-12 record, and a goal difference of 49:47, eleven points behind Arsenal in the sixth spot, so they can play in a relaxed manner the rest of their matches.

In 16 Premier League games at King Power Stadium this season the Foxes have recorded six wins, five draws, and five losses with a 22:19 goal difference, but they couldn’t get a victory in the previous four matches on the home soil, earning three draws and one defeat in the process. For the next clash against Southampton, the manager Claude Puel can count on all players, besides the striker Kelechi Iheanacho who’s still doubtful due to a fractured finger, while the midfielder Iborra is struggling with a hamstring injury.

On the other side, SOUTHAMPTON is playing in a terrible form in the last few weeks, losing four Premier League games in a row against Chelsea (3-2), Arsenal (3-2), West Ham (3-0), and Newcastle (3-0), while they are winless in seven straight encounters in the English top tier. The Saints are sitting at the 18th spot of the Premier League table at the moment with 28 points, a 5-13-15 record, and a 33:53 goal difference, five points behind Swansea in the safe 17th spot with just 15 points left in play, so the victory over the Foxes is a must.

On the road, the Saints were beaten three times in a row, and they couldn’t keep their net intact in six consecutive away matches, while they’ve earned 12 points out of 16 encounters with a 2-6-8 record, and a 15:29 goal difference. For the game against the Foxes, the manager Mark Hughes doesn’t have any injury problems among the squad, so he can field his best eleven at the moment.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 2.5 Goals @ -105

Under 2.5 Goals @ -115

Why Bet on the Under?

Leicester City played some tight games at home lately, and only one out of their last five home matches had more than two goals in the total, while nine out of their 16 games at King Power Stadium were ended in the under. On the other side, 18 out of 33 Southampton’s Premier League matches this season had less than three goals in the total, while they had a lot of issues with their defensive work on the road. Some defensive improvement could be crucial if they want to grab a victory over the Foxes this Thursday.

Why Bet on the Over?

Due to Southampton poor defense on the road, the previous four Saints’ matches away from home were ended in the over, and the same case is with their previous four tilts overall, as all four had at least three goals on the scoreboard. The Saints have conceded 12 goals in their last five away games, while on the other side, the Foxes have managed to find the back of the net in their last seven encounters in front of the home fans.

Leicester City vs. Southampton Over/Under Betting Pick

The hosts can play in a relaxed manner, as they don’t have any other imperative in this clash but to satisfy own fans. The visitors are those who have to push forward here, as they desperately need three points, so I expect to see an entertaining match with plenty of scoring chances on both sides of the pitch.

I’m backing the over on this one, as I believe both teams will find the net, but you can check out all other lines and markets on BetDSI Sportsbook.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-105)