The city derby between Chelsea and West Ham set for this Sunday, April 8th, 2018, is certainly one of the most intriguing games of the English Premier League Round 33, as the visitors are battling to survive in the top tier, while the hosts desperately need three points as they are still searching for the UEFA Champions League spot. The bookies favor Chelsea at -365 to win this clash, but the Hammers will surely have something to say here, while the markets on the Over/Under 3 Goals are set at +100/-115.
Team News, Updates and Facts
CHELSEA is having a nightmare season so far, finishing the UEFA Champions League journey in the Round of 16, while they are already out of the English FA Cup. At the moment, the Blues are sitting at the fifth spot of the English Premier League table with 56 points and a 53:30 goal difference, eight points behind Tottenham in the fourth spot that leads to the Champions League next season, so the Champions League qualification sounds like an impossible mission for Antonio Conte’s boys.
In the last five Premier League games, the Blues have recorded two wins and three losses, keeping their net intact only against the bottom-side West Bromwich Albion, and on last weekend they were humiliated by Tottenham in front of the home fans, losing 3-1 at Stamford Bridge on arguably the most important game of the season. At home, Chelsea has a poor 2-1-2 record in the last five matches with a goal difference of 6:7, while four out of these five tilts had at least three goals in the total. The manager Antonio Conte will miss the defender David Luiz (ankle) for the next game against the Hammers, while the goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois (hamstring) is still doubtful.
On the other side of the pitch will be WEST HAM, and the Hammers are playing in a solid form recently in regard to their standard this season, recording two wins and three losses in the previous five games with a goal difference of 7:11, while four out of these five tilts had more than two goals in the total. West Ham is in the 14th spot of the Premier League table at the moment with 33 points and a 39:57 goal difference, five points above the relegation zone, so they are also desperate to earn the positive result this Sunday.
West Ham was beaten in three consecutive games on the road, losing to Swansea (4-1), Liverpool (4-1), and Brighton (3-1), while they couldn’t keep the clean sheet in their last six Premier League away matches. Their defense is struggling away from home all season long, conceding 37 goals in 16 games thus far. For the next match against the Blues, the manager David Moyes will probably miss the striker Andy Carroll who’s recovering from a foot injury, while the midfielders Michail Antonio and Pedro Obiang are both ruled out for the season.
Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook
Over 3 Goals @ +100
Under 3 Goals @ -115
Why Bet on the Under?
On a paper, Chelsea is a better team than West Ham, and the Blues will certainly control the ball in the midfield, while the Hammers will look for their chances on counter-attacks. If we don’t see a quick opening goal, this game could be easily finished in the under, as the stake is huge for both sides. Chelsea had some problems to find the net in the past, failing to score in two out of their last five home games, and if they miss breaking the deadlock in the first half, this clash will probably have no more than three goals in the total.
Why Bet on the Over?
However, if you take a look at the numbers, they are suggesting the over in this match, as 19 out of 31 West Ham’s games had more than two goals in the total, including the previous four, while 18 out of 31 Chelsea’s games had at least three goals in the total. Likewise, in the last four West Ham’s away games we saw at least four goals on the scoreboard, and their defense could struggle at Stamford Bridge this Sunday.
Chelsea vs. West Ham Over/Under Betting Pick
Both Chelsea and West Ham are having big issues with their defensive work recently, so I believe we’ll see an opening goal in the first 45 minutes that should open the flow of the game. Neither of these two sides can afford a loss here, while the hosts just have to win, so I’m backing the over on this one, but you can also check out the other lines and markets on BetDSI Sportsbook.
MY PICK: Over 3 Goals (+100)