Betting on the Over/Under – Leicester City vs. Stoke City 2/24/2018


After a short break due to English FA Cup matches the Premier League is back this weekend with the Round 28, and the opening clash is set for Saturday, February 24th, 2018, when Leicester City welcomes Stoke City at King Power Stadium. The hosts are set as -135 favorites by the bookies, while the visitors desperately need a positive result, so excitements are guaranteed in this match. Hereof, it is a nice opportunity to lay some bets on goals, as the price on the Over/Under 2.5 goals is set at -110/-106.

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LEICESTER CITY didn’t taste a Premier League win for three matches in a row, recording a 1-1 draw with Swansea City at home, and two losses on the road against Everton (2-1), and Manchester City (5-1). The Foxes are still in the eight spot of the Premier League table with 35 points and a 39:40 goal difference, nine points above the relegation zone, and ten points away from Arsenal in the sixth spot which could lead to the Europa League next season. However, the Foxes managed to reach the English FA Cup Quarter-Finals beating Sheffield United 1-0 last weekend, as Jamie Vardy scored the winning goal from Riyad Mahrez assist. It was Jamie’s 15th goal of the season in 30 appearances, while the fans could be pleased with Mahrez’s return to the starting eleven after missing some matches due to his transfer affair as the Algerian winger was refusing to train with the team. The manager Claude Puel can count on all important players, so we should see an attacking formation with Mahrez and Vardy both on the field.

STOKE CITY, on the other side, is in a pretty uncomfortable position, sitting at the next-to-last spot with 25 points and a 27:53 goal difference, two points behind Huddersfield in the safe 17th spot, so they travel to a King Power Stadium with an imperative to get something out of this clash. The Potters have earned just five points in the previous five rounds of the English Premier League, winning only against Huddersfield 2-0 on the home soil, and earning two draws in front of the home fans – against Watford (0-0), and Brighton (1-1). The Potters defense is still the worst in the Premier League, but since Paul Lambert took the helm, they’ve conceded just two goals in four matches, recording one win, two stalemates, and one defeat in the process. Lambert doesn’t have any serious injury worries, so he can field his best eleven, while we can expect a cautious approach from a Scottish tactician. The Potters were beaten four straight times on the road in all competitions, hoping to finally break the string against the Foxes.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 2.5 Goals @ -110

Under 2.5 Goals @ -106

Why Bet on the Under?

The previous four Foxes’ matches at home in all competitions were ended in the under, while Leicester City has won three out of these four tilts. Also, seven out of their 13 Premier League games on the home soil had less than three goals in the total. Another reason to bet on the under is surely Paul Lambert’s defensive approach, as he’s trying to improve his team’s play at the back.

Why Bet on the Over?

The last four Stoke City’s matches on the road were ended with at least three goals in the total, while eight out of their 13 away matches were finished in the over. Likewise, 17 out of Stoke’s 27 Premier League games this season had at least three goals in the total, while we saw exactly 3 goals per contest on average. On the other hand, the Foxes have managed to score at least once in the previous seven encounters in all competitions, and they should continue this string in front of the home fans.

Leicester City vs. Stoke City Over/Under Betting Pick

While the hosts are pretty safe at the eighth spot of the Premier League table, the Potters desperately need a positive result in this one to try to escape from the relegation zone. Therefore, if Leicester takes the lead, the visitors will have to push forward in numbers, which will open a lot of room for dangerous counter-attacks. Also, if the Potters break the deadlock, I expect to see the Foxes rushing toward Stoke City’s goalkeeper. Hereof, I’m backing the over in this clash, as I think the visitors will struggle to keep their net intact.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-110)