With nine rounds to go, both Hertha BSC and SC Freiburg are still close to a danger zone, so their next H2H meeting set for this Saturday, March 10th, 2018, at Olympiastadion in Berlin will be important for both sides. The hosts are slight favorites to win the clash at +115, while the bookies expect to see a tight match with one or two goals in the total, setting the markets on the Over/Under 2.5 Goals at +133/-162 which is quite attractive, so let’s see what can we expect from these two teams.
Team News, Updates and Facts
HERTHA BSC has won just one out other eight Bundesliga matches since the winter break, recording three draws and four losses in the process, so they’ve dropped to the 12th spot of the Bundesliga table with 31 points and a 30:31 goal difference, six points above the danger zone, and four points behind Hoffenheim in the seventh spot which could easily lead to the UEFA Europa League next season. The Old Lady is having huge problems in the final third recently, failing to score in the previous three matches, while Pal Dardai’s players have scored only four goals in the last eight Bundesliga rounds. At home, they’ve won one out of the previous six games along with two draws and three defeats, finding the net on five occasions. The striker Davie Selke is the team’s leading scorer with nine goals in 22 appearances, but he’s goalless for six matches in a row, while the manager Pal Dardai doesn’t have serious injury worries among the squad.
SC FREIBURG also has a 1-2-2 record in the previous five Bundesliga rounds, scoring three goals in the process, and conceding seven in a return, while they are sitting at the 13th spot of the Bundesliga table, two points behind Hertha BSC, and just four points above the danger zone. In the previous round, Freiburg was heavily beaten by Bayern Munich 4-0 in front of the home fans, recording their first defeat in the last five matches on the home soil. On the other side, Freiburg is the second-worst team in the league on the road, earning eight points so far with a 1-5-6 record and a 14:31 goal difference, while in the previous five away matches they’ve recorded four draws and one defeat, scoring at least once on all these five occasions. The striker Nils Petersen is the team’s top scorer with 16 goals in 28 matches this season, and he’s netted two times in the last three games, while the manager Christian Streich can count on all important first team players.
Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook
Over 2.5 Goals @ +133
Under 2.5 Goals @ -162
Why Bet on the Under?
All eight Hertha’s matches after the winter break had less than three goals in the total, while the Old Lady has finished 17 out of 25 Bundesliga games in the under. At Olympiastadion, a half of 12 matches were ended in the under, including the previous three tilts. Hertha BSC is playing pretty cautiously, while on the other side, three out of the last five Freiburg’s matches were finished in the under, and 12 out of their 25 Bundesliga games had less than three goals in the total.
Why Bet on the Over?
Freiburg’s away matches are the most efficient in the German Bundesliga with 3.8 goals per contest on average, while nine out of their 12 tilts on the road were ended in the over, and this is the main reason why you should consider putting your money on the over in this clash. Freiburg had a lot of problems at the defensive end throughout the season, conceding 42 goals in 25 games which is the second-worst record in the Bundesliga, while 31 out of these 42 goals came on the road.
Hertha BSC vs. SC Freiburg Over/Under Betting Pick
The numbers are suggesting this could be a tight match, while both sides need a positive result to improve their record ahead of decisive rounds of the season, so I don’t expect to see an open flow game, just like the bookies who set the market on both teams to score at +100. However, if we see a quick opener, this clash could easily go in the other direction, so with the odd at +133 I will go with the over in this one, while you can check out all lines and markets at BetDSI Sportsbook.
MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (+133)