Betting on the Over/Under – Celta Vigo vs. Malaga 3/18/2018


Malaga is in dire straits with just ten rounds to go in the Spanish La Liga, and this Sunday, March 18th, 2018, the Anchovies travel to Balaidos where they will face Celta Vigo who’s still aiming the Europa League spot, so excitements are guaranteed in this clash. The hosts are -200 favorites to win the match, while the bookmakers set the odds on the Over/Under 2.5 Goals even at -110, so let’s see how can we beat the line here and make some money.

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CELTA VIGO is playing in an on-off form recently, recording two wins and three losses alternately in the last five La Liga matches, while they’ve lost four straight games on the road, scoring just one goal in the process and conceding nine in a return. The Sky Blues are currently in the 10th spot of the La Liga table with 38 points, an 11-5-12 record, and a 45:42 goal difference, six points behind Villarreal in the sixth, and five points behind Girona in the fifth spot.

The Sky Blues are unbeaten for five home matches in a row, recording three wins and two draws with an 11:7 goal difference, while four out of these five tilts had at least three goals in the total. They’ve managed to score in each but one out of their last ten games on the home soil, keeping their net intact in three matches in the process. For the match against Malaga, the manager Juan Carlos Unzue can count on almost all important players, besides the midfielder Daniel Wass (hernia) who’s still listed as a doubtful.

MALAGA is pinned to the bottom of the Spanish La Liga table with 13 points, a 3-4-21 record, and a 16:45 goal difference, 11 points behind Levante in the safe 17th spot, so it seems like the Anchovies will play in the second tier next season, insofar as they manage to win at least seven out of their further ten games which sounds pretty unrealistic, but they’ll have to give it a try.

The Anchovies were beaten in seven straight La Liga matches, failing to score five times in the process, while they are winless for 13 matches in a row. On the road, the Anchovies have earned just one point in the previous six matches, failing to find the net on four occasions in the process. For the next clash against Celta Vigo, the manager Jose Manuel Gonzalez will miss the winger Samu Garcia due to a red card suspension, while the midfielders Recio and Adrian Gonzalez are both doubtful due to knee injuries.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 2.5 Goals @ -110

Under 2.5 Goals @ -110

Why Bet on the Under?

Malaga is the most inefficient team in the Spanish La Liga, and 20 out of their 28 matches so far were finished in the under, so this is the main reason why should you consider putting your money on the under here. The Anchovies have bagged just six goals in 14 away matches this season, while 11 out of these 14 tilts had less than three goals in the total, while just one out of their previous five away games were ended in the over.

Why Bet on the Over?

If Malaga is the reason to bet on the under, than Celta Vigo is a good reason to bet on the over, as 20 out of their 20 La Liga matches had more than two goals in the total, seven out 13 home matches had at least three goals in the total, while four out of their last five games on the home soil were finished in the over. The Sky Blues have scored in each but one out of the previous eight matches at Balaidos and they will certainly attack the fragile Malaga’s defense.

Celta Vigo vs. Malaga Over/Under Betting Pick

Celta Vigo is an attacking-minded team who always push forward, even if they have a two-goal lead, so I believe they will score a couple of goals here, especially as they are still chasing the Europa League spot. On the other side, this is the last chance for the visitors to catch the train and stay in the competition to survive in the La Liga, so they will have to bring their best attacking play to Balaidos this Sunday.

I will go with the over in this clash, as the previous three head-to-head meetings were finished in the over, while you can check out all other lines and markets on BetDSI Sportsbook.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-110)