Betting on the Over/Under – Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol 2/11/2018


The Spanish La Liga goes on with the Round 23 matches scheduled over the weekend, so you can check out our betting tips and predictions for the clash between Celta Vigo and Espanyol set for this Sunday, February 11th, 2018.

Celta Vigo is searching for the European qualification next season, and this Sunday, February 11th, 2018, they welcome Espanyol at Balaidos as -113 favorites, while the visitors are coming to Vigo after a surprising 1-1 draw against the mighty Barcelona, so they certainly want something from this clash. The price on the Over/Under 2.5 Goals is set at -100/-120, so let’s see what we can expect from these two teams.

Team News, Updates and Facts

CELTA VIGO was beaten 2-1 by Alaves on the road in the previous round of the Spanish La Liga, after recording three consecutive victories over Betis (3-2), Real Sociedad (2-1), and Levante (1-0). They were a better team against Alaves, taking 16 shots toward rival’s goalkeeper, and keeping the ball on their feet for 74% of the time, but they conceded two goals in the first 18 minutes of the game, and it turned out to be an unscalable lead for the Sky Blues. Iago Aspas scored a consolation goal in the dying minutes of the second half, his fourth in the last three La Liga matches, proving he is playing in a tremendous form recently. The Sky Blues are currently sitting at the eighth spot of the La Liga table with 31 points and a 39:32 goal difference, two points behind Sevilla in the sixth spot which leads to the UEFA Europa League next season. The manager Juan Carlos Unzue can count on all important players for the next game, so we should see his best eleven this Sunday.

On the other side of the pitch will be ESPANYOL who upset the leader Barcelona in the previous round, earning a 1-1 draw at home against the city rivals, although they were huge underdogs for the bookies. However, they are winless in the last four La Liga matches, recording two draws and two losses in the process, scoring four goals, and conceding eight in a return. Espanyol is having a difficult time this season, they wanted to battle for the Europa League spots, but after the first 22 rounds the team is sitting at the 15th spot of the table with 25 points and a poor 19:29 goal difference, just eight points above the relegation zone, while the same distance is between them and Sevilla in the sixth spot. The manager Quique Flores doesn’t have serious issues to field his best eleven, besides Pablo Piatti’s muscular problems which could leave the Argentinian winger out of the squad.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 2.5 Goals @ -100

Under 2.5 Goals @ -120

Why Bet on the Under?

Espanyol is having some serious problems in the final third throughout the season, as they’ve scored just 19 goals in 22 matches, eight of them on the road in ten tilts. Just seven out of their 22 La Liga matches were ended in the over, and all these numbers are suggesting you bet on the under. On the other side, half of Celta Vigo’s games on the home soil were finished with less than three goals in the total, but if you look at Celta, this is probably the only reason why you should go with the under.

Why Bet on the Over?

Unlike Espanyol, the Sky Blues are pretty efficient this season, scoring 39 goals thus far, 16 of them at home. We saw exactly three goals per game on the average in their ten home matches, while 16 out of their 22 La Liga encounters were ended in the over. Likewise, Celta’s defense is not as good as their attack, and they’ve kept the clean sheet just once in the previous nine La Liga games, while their net stayed intact at Balaidos just twice this season.

Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol Over/Under Betting Pick

The hosts are playing very well in the last two months, although they had a few poor displays, what is important, they never give up on their attacking approach, so I’m pretty sure the Sky Blues will attack Espanyol from the first minute. The visitors prefer totally different approach, while they are the most dangerous when hitting on the counter-attack. I believe they can score against Celta’s fragile defense, and in that case, we’ll definitely see an entertaining clash, as the Sky Blues are like hornets when they are trailing. Therefore, I’m backing goals in this one, despite Espanyol’s inefficient play.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-100)