With just eight rounds more to go, the battle for survival in the English Premier League is getting serious, and one of the crucial matches is set for this Saturday, March 17th, 2018, when twelfth-placed Bournemouth welcomes bottom-side West Bromwich Albion at Vitality Stadium. The visitors desperately need a victory here, while the bookmakers favor the hosts at -115 to win the clash, so let’s see what can we expect from these two teams when it comes to goal scoring, as the markets on the Over/Under 2.5 Goals are set at -105/-115.
Team News, Updates and Facts
BOURNEMOUTH was heavily beaten by Tottenham 4-1 at home in the previous round of the English Premier League, despite they were leading after just seven minutes of the game, while the Cherries are winless for four matches in a row, recording two draws and two losses in the process with a 5:11 goal difference which is exactly four goals per contest on average. The Cherries are currently in the 12th spot of the Premier League table with 33 points and a 35:48 goal difference, six points above the relegation zone.
Bournemouth had a lot of problems at the defensive end in the last few months, conceding at least a goal in nine out of their previous ten encounters. On the other hand, their offensive work was pretty good, scoring in each of their last eleven Premier League matches. At home, the Cherries have bagged 14 goals in the last seven games, recording three wins, three draws, and one defeat in the process. The manager Eddie Howe doesn’t have any injury worries ahead of this clash, so we should see his best eleven.
WEST BROMWICH ALBION has recorded six straight defeats in the English Premier League, including a 4-1 loss against Leicester City at home in the previous round, although West Brom had an early lead. The Baggies are hammered to the bottom of the Premier League table with 20 points and a 23:47 goal difference, eight points behind Southampton in the safe 17th spot, so they just have to look for three points here.
The Baggies are the worst visitors in the Premier League, earning seven points in 15 away matches so far with a 1-4-10 record and a 7:23 goal difference. They’ve lost three consecutive games on the road without scoring a goal, and conceding seven times in a return, so it’s no strange that the bookies set them as +360 underdogs in this clash. The manager Alan Pardew can count on all important first team players, so he can field his best eleven in arguably the most important match of the season for West Brom.
Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook
Over 2.5 Goals @ -105
Under 2.5 Goals @ -115
Why Bet on the Under?
The visitors’ inefficiency is the main reason why should you consider putting your money on the under here, while 10 out of their 15 matches on the road had less than three goals in the total. Likewise, they’ve scored just two goals in their last five away games, but three out of these five tilts were finished in the over. However, West Brom will have to look for a victory against Bournemouth, and a solid defensive work will be crucial due to their poor attacking displays.
Why Bet on the Over?
Bournemouth played some pretty efficient matches on the home soil this season, as 11 out of 15 games at Vitality stadium had at least three goals in the total, while the previous eight Bournemouth’s home matches were ended in the over along with both teams on the scoresheet. Also, 13 out of the last 15 Cherries’ matches in all competitions had more than two goals in the total along with two encounters ended in a 1-1 stalemate.
Bournemouth vs. West Bromwich Albion Over/Under Betting Pick
We could easily see a patient and cautious approach from both teams due to an importance of the match, something similar to their first H2H duel of the season when West Brom has won 1-0 at home. However, the potential opening goal will be a massive gamechanger, and that is why the line at 2.5 goals is a tricky one.
I will go with the over in this one, as the visitors just have to push forward at some point, while the hosts cannot allow losing this match, but you can check out all other lines and markets on BetDSI Sportsbook.
MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-105)