The Bruins and Panthers are set to face off at 3:30 ET on ESPN+. The Panthers will host the game at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO. Belmont is favored by -1.5 in this Missouri Valley conference matchup the against Northern Iowa. The over/under for the game is set at 151.5 points.


The Pick: Northern Iowa Panthers +1.5

This game will be played at Enterprise Center at 3:30 ET on Friday, March 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Panthers.
  • Not only will Northern Iowa pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Bruins Pull Off a Road Win?

Belmont enters this game as the favorite, as they have gone 14-1 when favored this season. Overall, they have a record of 20-12, including a four-game win streak. Their record on the road is 7-10, and they are coming off an 86-61 win over Valparaiso.

For the season, Belmont has an average scoring margin of -3.8 points per game on the road, compared to +8.1 points per game at home. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone just 3-7.

Belmont has an overall ATS record of 16-15 this season. As the favorite, they have gone 10-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bruins have an impressive ATS mark of 9-1.

Belmont’s over/under record for the season is 13-18 and the average over/under line in their games is 154.1. Today’s line of 151.5 is lower than that average. So far, 12 of their games have had a lower over/under line than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points and their OU record over that span is 0-3.

Belmont’s offense had a good outing, putting up 86 points against Valparaiso. They achieved a 52.4% field goal percentage and went 10/17 from the free-throw line. The top scorer for the Bruins was Malik Dia with 22 points, while Brigham Rogers also added 15 to the scoreboard.

The Bruins’ defense is presently ranked 270th nationally, allowing an average of 75.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Valparaiso, the Beacons finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 61 points vs. Belmont.

Will Northern Iowa Pull Through as the Underdog Home Team?

At home this season, the Panthers are 10-4, and they have won their last four games at home. They are 18-13 overall and have won three straight games. In their last game, they beat Southern Illinois 82-70. This season, they have been the underdog in 14 of their 31 games, going 6-8 as the underdog.

For the season, Northern Iowa has an average scoring margin of +3.3 points per game at home. Their record at home this season is 10-4, and over their last 10 home games, they are 8-2. On the year, they have been favored in 16 games and have gone 11-5 in those games.

As the underdog this season, Northern Iowa has gone 7-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Panthers have a 6-4 ATS mark. At home, Northern Iowa is 8-6 vs. the spread this year and 5-5 in their last 10 games as the home team.

The over/under record for Northern Iowa this season is 14-16, and the average scoring total in their games is 144.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (143.3). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

Northern Iowa’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Southern Illinois, finishing the game with a total of 82 points. Their season average is now 73.5 points per game. Bowen Born was the leading scorer for the Panthers, putting up 19 points. In addition, Jacob Hutson contributed 15 points.

In terms of defense, Northern Iowa is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.6 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. Belmont. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.8%.