Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund – Match of the Day (Round 28)


Bayern is with almost crowned as new/old champions, but after losing in the previous round, their celebration is a bit postponed. The gap between the Bavarians and Dortmund is staggering 18 points, but the visitors will be highly motivated as they are trying to qualify for the next season’s Champions League and even though a defeat here would not be fatal, they will look to get a positive result. The game will take place at Allianz Arena on Saturday, March 31st.

Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund

Three-Way: 1: Bayern -256; X: +400 Draw; 2: Dortmund +650 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -1.5: Bayern +102; Dortmund -120

Total 3.5 goals: Over +100; Under -139


The Bavarians were in a fantastic form of 18 unbeaten games before Red Bull Leipzig defeated them 2-1, so Bayern will have to wait a little bit more to lift the Bundesliga title once again. Sandro Wagner gave an early lead to Bayern in the 12th minute, but Naby Keita in the 37th minute and substitution Timo Werner in the 56th minute handed a fully deserved victory for the Red Bulls that can play a vital role in their Champions League quest. Jupp Heynckes’ side is still alone at the top with 66 points, 17 points clear as Schalke is way behind in the 2nd place, so a win here would almost secure a trophy and Bayern can turn to the UCL instead.

Bayern Munich played 40 games so far in the 2017/18, recording 33 victories, three draws, and four losses, with a goal difference of 105:31, which is 3.40 goals per contest on average. The Bavarians have been undefeated at home in this season, and they kept their net intact in the previous three matches at Allianz Arena, scoring 11 in return, and all of that including a scoreless draw with Hertha.

Robert Lewandowski is the team’s top scorer with 32 goals in 37 appearances; Thomas Muller added ten goals to his name, while Corentin Tolisso and Kingsley Coman contributed with seven goals apiece. The right-back Joshua Kimmich is the most creative individual at Allianz Arena with amazing 15 assists at the moment; Muller has 12, Arjen Robben chipped in with ten dishes, while James Rodriguez recorded nine assists. Jupp Heynckes cannot count on Manuel Neuer (metatarsal fracture) and Coman (ligament tear), while Juan Bernat (ankle), Jerome Boateng (foot), and Robben (muscle) are listed as doubtful for this clash.


The Black and Yellows ended the dry spell of four matches without a win and got over the elimination out of the Europa League with a Bundesliga victory over Hannover at home. Borussia took a lead in the 24th minute through Michy Batshuayi who continues to impress at Westfalen, but despite creating a bunch of goal-scoring opportunities, the hosts failed to bag another goal so it finished 1-0. Peter Stöger’s side is currently in the 3rd position but could move a place up if they get thee points here and Schalke drop points against Freiburg.

Borussia Dortmund played 41 games in this campaign, recording 16 victories, 12 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal difference of 78:54, which is 3.21 goals per contest on average. The Black and Yellows are unbeaten in the previous six road games, winning two with four draws, including three draws in a row, but it’s interesting that their defense improved as they conceded just five goals in those six matches.

Michy Batshuayi became the team’s leading scorer with eight goals even though he joined the side in January, while Shinji Kagawa, Andriy Yarmolenko, and Maximilian Philipp scored six goals each. The Japanese international Kagawa is the best assist-maker with seven dishes, while Christian Pulisic, Mahmoud Dahoud, Mario Gotze, and Yarmolenko added six assists apiece. Peter Stoger will be without Kagawa (ankle), Sebastian Rode (groin), Erik Durm (ankle), and Dan-Axel Zagadou (hamstring), while Marko Reus is doubtful due to a muscle injury.

Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund – Betting Trends and Match Prediction

  • Bayern didn’t allow a single goal in the previous three matches at home
  • Bayern scored 11 goals in the last three games at Allianz Arena
  • Bayern failed to find the net only once in front of their own fans this season
  • Dortmund is without a loss in the last six away games
  • Dortmund failed to score only twice on the road this season

Bayern won the previous three H2H duels in this campaign, including the wins in the Super Cup and DFB Pokal, as well as a 3-1 victory at Dortmund in Bundesliga. The corresponding fixture last year ended 4-1 for the Bavarians and although I am giving them an advantage on this one and they are labeled as strong favorites, I believe the visitors can find the net on Saturday.

MY PICK: Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals (-120)