Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid – Match of the Day (Round 27)


The Spanish LaLiga continues this weekend after the exciting midweek matches, and the derby of this round and the biggest game of the championship is surely the one between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid.

Barcelona dropped some points recently while Atletico exploited it and cut the deficit in the standings, so the visitors have an opportunity to come close to just two points with a potential win here. Atletico is undoubtedly in a better form at the moment, but taking three points in Barcelona is the biggest test they’re facing this season, so it will be interesting to see how Diego Simeone’s men will cope with pressure. The game will take place at Nou Camp on Sunday, March 4th.

Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid

Three-Way: 1 Barcelona -139; X: +279 Draw; 2: Atletico +375 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -1: Barcelona +125; Atletico -161

Total 2.5 goals: Over -105; Under -118


The Blaugrana are not playing on the high level we used from them as they drew three out of the previous five matches in LaLiga, including the latest one at Las Palmas in the midweek. Barcelona had a 1-0 lead thanks to Leo Messi’s goal in the 21st minute, but the hosts equalized from the penalty spot early in the second half to settle the final score. Ernesto Valverde’s side is still at the top of the league with 66 points, but Atletico closed the gap to only five points, so Barca cannot afford to lose on Sunday, or else, the title could be in jeopardy.

Barcelona played 43 games so far in the 2017/18, recording 30 victories, ten draws, and three losses, with a goal difference of 100:24, which is 2.88 goals per contest on average. Blaugrana won four out of the previous five matches at home, scoring 15 goals and conceding two in return as only Getafe managed to escape undefeated, forcing a 0-0 draw.

Leo Messi is the team’s top scorer with 31 goals in 40 appearances, while Luis Suarez is behind him on a goal-scoring chart with 23 goals to his name. Messi is the most creative individual at Nou Camp with 16 assists at the moment; Suarez has ten, Jordi Alba added nine dishes, while Sergi Roberto contributed with seven assists. Ernesto Valverde cannot count on Nelson Semedo (hamstring), but the rest of the squad is healthy and at his disposal for this derby clash.


The Mattressers have been in a great form recently as they won eight consecutive matches, including the previous six in LaLiga. Atletico Madrid scored nine goals in the last two league tilts, which is quite unorthodox for Diego Simeone’s side, but victories over Sevilla, 5-2, and Leganes, 4-0, are surely the encouraging sign prior to the match of the year in Spain. Antoine Griezmann has been fantastic in those two wins, scoring a hat-trick against Sevilla and all four goals against Leganes, so Barcelona will have a lot of work to do to contain the in-form forward, who is, ironically, at the top of their wish list for the next transfer window. Atletico is in the 2nd position with 61 points, five behind Barca and ten more than city rivals Real Madrid, so the 2nd spot looks pretty much secured, and now they can attack the Blaugrana at Nou Camp with hopes of cutting the gap to two points.

Atletico Madrid played 40 games in this campaign, recording 24 victories, 12 draws, and four losses, with a goal difference of 68:22, which is 2.25 goals per contest on average. The Mattressers won the previous three road matches in LaLiga, scoring seven goals in the process and conceding two in return.

Antoine Griezmann is the team’s leading scorer with 20 goals in 33 appearances; Kevin Gameiro scored nine goals, Angel Correa has six, while Fernando Torres, Thomas, and Diego Costa added five goals apiece. Griezmann is the best assist-maker with ten dishes to his name; Correa has five, while Gameiro, Costa, Koke, and Sime Vrsaljko contributed with four assists each. Diego Simeone doesn’t have any injury-related concerns for this clash as all of the players are healthy and fit to face Barca.

Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid – Betting Trends and Match Prediction

  • Barcelona scored 15 goals in the last five home matches in the league
  • Barcelona allowed two goals in the previous five LaLiga games at Nou Camp
  • Atletico scored nine goals in the last two road matches
  • Atletico kept the clean sheet in two out of the previous three away games in LaLiga

Barcelona won two out of the previous five H2H encounters with three draws, while Atletico’s last victory over Barca occurred in the Champions League in April 2016, when it was 2-0 in Madrid. When it comes to LaLiga tilts, the Mattressers’ last win came in February 2010, but it seems that this could be the perfect chance for them to finally snap the negative streak against Barcelona on Sunday. While I am not backing the visitors to get three points here, I believe they will score at least once, so I’d suggest you go with both teams to score and almost double your stake.

MY PICK: Both teams to score YES (-111)