Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills Week 14 Betting Free Pick


The Baltimore Ravens (-6) are heading northeast to battle the Buffalo Bills at New Era Field. This crucial early afternoon game kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to broadcast the action. These squads met last year with the final result being a 47-3 win for Baltimore.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills Betting Odds 12/8/2019

Buffalo is entering this AFC matchup as the underdog and is currently being given 6 points. The Ravens are also receiving -230 moneyline odds while the Bills are +190. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points, and if one team can create a bunch of points early, it’ll probably create a nice betting scenario in-game.

The sharp action is siding with the Bills. The opening line was originally 7 and the game’s O/U was initially placed at 43.

Each of these teams has been profitable this year as the Ravens have gained 6.8 units and the Bills are up 6.7 units.

The Ravens have gone 10-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bills are 9-3 SU.

The Ravens just notched a 20-17 win over San Francisco in Week 13Their defense allowed the 49ers to rush for 174 yards on 29 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Raheem Mostert was unstoppable for the 49ers in that one with 146 rushing yards and a score on 19 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, Lamar Jackson completed 14 passes for only 105 yards and one touchdown. Jackson (101 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Mark Ingram II (59 yards on 15 carries). Andrews (three receptions, 50 yards, one TD) and Hayden Hurst (three catches, 21 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

The Buffalo Bills just got a 26-15 win over Dallas in Week 13. The defensive unit allowed the Cowboys to pass for 355 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 103 yards. Ezekiel Elliott was a bright spot in the loss for Dallas, posting 71 rushing yards on 12 attempts, along with 66 yards on seven catches. For Buffalo, Josh Allen completed 19-of-24 passes for 231 yards and one touchdown. Devin Singletary (63 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and the signal-caller Allen (43 yards on 10 carries, one TD) handled the running attack while Cole Beasley (six receptions, 110 yards, one TD) and John Brown (three catches, 26 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Baltimore has run the ball on 56.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has a rush percentage of 48.5 percent. The Ravens have produced 208 rush yards per game and have 18 scores on the ground this year. The Bills are totaling 138 rush yards per game and have 12 total rushing TDs.

The Ravens offense has tallied 222 yards per game through the air overall and has 26 passing scores so far. The Bills have recorded 229 pass yards per outing and have 17 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Baltimore has allowed 95 rush yards and 244 pass yards per game. The Buffalo D has given up 217 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bills are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.74 to opponents, while the Ravens have allowed a 5.54 ANY/A.

Jackson has put up 2,363 pass yards on the year, and has connected on 199-of-302 attempts with 20 passing touchdowns and only five interceptions. Jackson’s got a 7.62 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.37 over the last two games.

We expect the Baltimore offense to mix it up in this one. As a group, Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram II and Mark Andrews have combined to account for 471 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

Josh Allen has managed to complete 210-of-341 passes for 2,406 yards, 14 TDs and seven INTs for Buffalo. His ANY/A stands at 6.05 for the season and 7.39 over his last two games.

Similar to the Ravens, expect a balanced approach offensively from Buffalo this Sunday. Devin Singletary (447 rushing yards, two rush TDs, 153 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Cole Beasley (559 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) and Josh Allen (374 rush yards, eight rush TDs, zero receiving yards) have combined for exactly 500 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two games.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills Free Prediction

SU Winner – Ravens, ATS Winner – Ravens, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

The Buffalo offense has lost four fumbles this season while Baltimore has lost five.

The Buffalo defense has sacked opposing QBs 37 times this season. Baltimore has registered just 27 sacks.

Baltimore has averaged 5.8 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 5.4 over its last two.

Buffalo has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.5 over its past two.

Over its last three matchups, Buffalo is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Baltimore’s previous game was 45.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-17 victory over San Francisco.

In its last three games, Baltimore is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Buffalo’s last matchup was set at 46.5. The under cashed in the 26-15 victory over Dallas.