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At 6:40 PM from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have an interleague matchup between the Orioles and Reds. Heading into Saturday's game, the Orioles are 21-11, while the Reds are 16-16. Baltimore is currently favored on the money line at -118.

The over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and tonight's pitching matchup features John Means for the Orioles and Andrew Abbott for the Reds. You can catch this one on TV on BSOH.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -118

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Saturday, May 4th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS REDS:

  • We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Thanks to a three-run 7th inning for the Orioles' offense, they cruised to a 3-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +100 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Cole Irvin for the Orioles, and he went 6 1/3 innings while giving up just two hits and no earned runs. Hunter Greene got the start for the Reds and went 5 2/3 innings, giving up five hits and no earned runs.

Baltimore's two best hitters in the game were Ryan O'Hearn and Ryan Mountcastle, as they were the only two Orioles hitters to have more than one hit. O'Hearn also hit the game's only home run.

Orioles Records & Stats

Heading into today's road matchup vs. the Reds, the Orioles lead the AL East with a record of 21-11. They currently hold a one-game lead over the Yankees and have gone 6-1 against other teams in the division. Baltimore has won two straight games, and their series record is 7-3 this year, including three straight series wins on the road.

At home, the Orioles have gone 12-7 this year and have been really good on the road at 9-4. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 16-10 and 5-1 as the underdog. This season, they have been really good in day games, putting together a record of 12-5. Baltimore's overall record this year is 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Orioles are on the road, they are 19-13 against the run line this season. They have been favored in 26 of their 32 games, and they are 14-12 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in all games is +1.4 runs per game, and it is +1.5 runs per game on the road.

So far this season, the Orioles have played a total of 29 games, and 27 of those games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or less. The over/under line for today's game against the Reds is set at 9.5 runs, which is the highest over/under line the Orioles have had in any game this season. The Orioles have gone over the over/under line in 16 of their 29 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.1 runs per game.

Coming off a season in which he made four starts, John Means will take the mound for the Orioles against the Reds. Last year, Means went 1-2 with an ERA of 2.66. His WHIP was .72, and he allowed a batting average of .160. For the season, Means made two quality starts and gave up four home runs. His strikeout-to-walk ratio was 2.5, and he averaged one walk per game.

So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league, and they are also one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .250, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Baltimore's team slugging percentage of .444 is also the best in the league.

Adley Rutschman has been a big part of the Orioles lineup this season, as he is batting .308 with four homers and 19 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/37 in his last nine games with two homers. Gunnar Henderson is the league's top home run hitter at the moment, and he is also 6th in the league with 24 RBIs.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati will host the Orioles today with an even 16-16 record. The Reds are 4.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead and are 3rd in the division. The Reds have dropped three straight games, and this includes losing the final two games of their series vs. the Cubs.

At home, the Reds are 9-8 this year compared to 7-8 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 10-5. As the underdog, the Reds are just 6-11 this year. Cincinnati's overall series record is 4-5-1, and they have lost two straight series.

The Reds have been a good team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 17-15 overall. They have been better on the run line on the road (9-6) than at home (8-9). They have a positive scoring margin both at home (0.3 runs per game) and on the road (0.7 runs per game). They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog (8-9) than as the favorite (9-6).

So far this season, the Reds have played 31 games with over/under lines. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 17-14. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over is 8-1. Overall, only 3.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher. Today's over/under line is set at 9.5 runs.

Left-hander Andrew Abbott gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Orioles at home. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.27. Opposing batters are hitting .208 off Abbott this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.12. Abbott's last outing came on April 28th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had put together two straight quality starts. His ERA at home is 2.84 compared to 3.6 on the road.

Elly De La Cruz has been on a tear of late for the Reds, going 10/36 in his last 10 games with two homers and four RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, De La Cruz is batting .288 and leads the team with eight homers. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 22 is 8th in the MLB right now.

Overall, the Reds offense is 11th in the league at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a better home team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Reds are batting just .214 and have the 22nd most strikeouts in the league.