Ball State vs. Kent State College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19


A couple of schools that like to run the football, Golden Flashes (+3.5) are gearing up to welcome their MAC rival Ball State Cardinals (-3.5) to Dix Stadium. Kickoff for this game is set for 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can watch the action live on ESPN+.

Ball State at Kent State Betting Odds 11/23/2019

The spread for this MAC matchup is placed at 3.5 points in favor of Ball State. The Cardinals are currently getting -175 moneyline odds while the Golden Flashes are +155. This MAC matchup could have some live betting scenarios. The over/under has been set at 64.5 points.

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The betting odds have shifted slightly from where they were first posted. The line opened at 3 and the game’s total was set initially at 64.

The Cardinals are 4-6 straight up (SU), including 3-3 SU against MAC opponents. The Golden Flashes are 4-6 SU overall and are also 3-3 SU in conference play. The Cardinals have lost 2.8 units so far in 2019 and are 6-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 5-5.

The Golden Flashes are up 1.7 units this season. They’re 6-4 ATS and also have an even O/U record of 5-5.

The Cardinals look to bounce back after a 45-44 loss to Central Michigan last week. Drew Plitt completed just 14-of-25 passes for 268 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Caleb Huntley (106 yards on 24 rush attempts, one TD) and Walter Fletcher (115 yards on 15 carries) spearheaded the running attack while Justin Hall (four receptions, 95 yards, two TDs) and Riley Miller (three catches, 67 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Kent State is coming off of a 30-27 win over Buffalo. The Golden Flashes defense allowed the Bulls to rush for 245 yards on 51 attempts, including two rush TDs. Jaret Patterson had a productive showing in the loss, recording 141 rushing yards on 30 attempts for Buffalo. For Kent State, Dustin Crum completed 16-of-25 passes for 165 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Will Matthews (37 yards on 11 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Crum (-6 yards on 11 carries) led the running game as Mike Carrigan (seven receptions, 43 yards, one TD) and Kavious Price (three catches, 23 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

When looking at offensive play selection, each of these squads has a nearly identical (58-42) run-pass ratio on the season. The Cardinals, however, have produced 204 rush yards/game (including 257 per game versus Mid-American opponents) and have 20 scores on the ground this year. The Golden Flashes haven’t been quite as successful, as they’re logging 165 rush yards per contest (206 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.

Based on the results so far, it seems like the Cardinals might hold an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness, since their backfield has logged 4.8 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents. The Golden Flashes have ran for 4.2 yards per carry and allowed 5.2 YPC to opponents.

The Cards have averaged 240 yards in the air overall (170 per game versus conference opposition) and have 20 passing scores so far. The Golden Flashes have produced 199 pass yards per outing (236.7 in the MAC) and have 19 total pass TDs.

Ball State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 178 yards and pass for 240 yards per game. Kent State has allowed 253.9 yards per game on the ground and 206.3 to opposing teams in the air. The Cards are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.30 to opposing QBs, while the Golden Flashes have allowed a 7.48 ANY/A.

Plitt is up to 2,245 pass yards this year, and has connected on 182-of-284 attempts with 20 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Plitt’s got a 7.23 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.42 over the last two outings.

Dustin Crum has tallied 1,513 yards, 12 TDs and two INTs for Kent State. His ANY/A sits at 6.09 for the season and 8.86 across his past two games.

These two programs met last year with the final result being a 52-24 win for Ball State.

Ball State Cardinals vs. Kent State Golden Flashes NCAA Tip

SU Winner – Ball State, ATS Winner – Ball State, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Kent State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 19 times this year. Ball State has produced just 11 sacks.

The Kent State offense has lost eight fumbles this season while Ball State has lost seven.

The Cardinals offense has created seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Golden Flashes have accounted for eight such plays.

The Ball State defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Kent State has given up seven such plays.

The Ball State offense has created 19 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Kent State has created 15 such runs.

The Cardinals defense has allowed 14 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Golden Flashes have given up 16 such runs.

The O/U for Kent State’s previous outing was set at 54.5. The over cashed in that 30-27 victory over Buffalo.

Over its last three matches, Kent State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three games, Ball State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Ball State’s last game was set at 60. The over cashed in the team’s 45-44 loss to Central Michigan.

Ball State has averaged 5.9 yards per carry across its past three games and 5.5 over its last two.

Kent State has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.5 over its past two.

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