The Toledo Rockets (14-14, 6-9 MAC) welcome the Ball State Cardinals (16-12, 9-6 MAC) in a matchup that pits sensational offense against superb defense. Action begins at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020.
Ball State Cardinals vs. Toledo Rockets ATS Preview
The last time the Cardinals played, they defeated the Western Michigan Broncos, 71-61. With 13 points and 13 rebounds, Ball State’s Tahjai Teague played well. Ball State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.396 (above their season average of 0.195) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.4 (below their season average of 25.7). For those same stats, Western Michigan recorded marks of 0.130 and 17.6, respectively.
The Rockets hope to maintain momentum after defeating the Central Michigan Chippewas in their last matchup, 93-81. With 37 points on 12-for-18 shooting, Marreon Jackson was the game’s high scorer. Toledo played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.352 (above their season average of 0.270) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.685 (above their season average of 0.515). Central Michigan was 0.104 and 0.552, respectively, for those same stats.
The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the prolific offense of Toledo (50th in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 109.1) takes on the stingy defense of Ball State (14th in the NCAA with a defensive efficiency of 90.9). Moreover, the Cardinals rank 278th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.201), while the Rockets rank 56th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.187).
These two schools have already met once this season. The Cardinals won 61-57. The Cardinals played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.154 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.510. The Rockets were 0.135 and 0.481, respectively, for those same stats. In the victory, Ishmael El-Amin led all scorers with 17 points.
Ball State Cardinals at Toledo Rockets ATS Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Toledo, ATS Winner – Ball State, O/U – Under
The Cardinals rank 10th in assists allowed per game (9.7) while the Rockets rank 85th (11.7).
Ball State ranks 42nd in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while Toledo ranks 85th (3.1).
Ball State ranks 25th in three pointers attempted per game (27.1) while Toledo ranks 201st in three pointers allowed per game (22.9).
The Rockets rank 62nd in rebounds per game (38.0) while the Cardinals rank 153rd in rebounds allowed per game (35.2).
Ball State averages 6.9 steals per game, which ranks 90th in the nation. Toledo ranks 167th in steals allowed per game (6.9).
The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 4.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Cardinals have scored an average of 65.6 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 64.8 points per game (2.4 above their season average).