Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia – Match of the Day (Round 22)

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The Spanish LaLiga continues this weekend, and we selected the clash between Atletico Madrid and Valencia as the most attractive one as both teams are looking to book their place in the next season’s Champions League.

Their respective positions in the table and the gap between the sides are the biggest reasons for picking this duel as MOTD and we’re sure Atletico Madrid and Valencia will not disappoint us. The fixture will take place at Wanda Metropolitano on Sunday, February 4th.

Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia

Three-Way: 1: Atletico Madrid -227; X: +320 Draw; 2: Valencia +650 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -1: Atletico Madrid -125; Valencia +100

Total 2.5 goals: Over -139; Under +106

ATLETICO MADRID

The Mattressers are knocked out of the Copa del Rey as Sevilla beat them 5-2 on aggregate after two legs, but they responded well in LaLiga with an emphatic 3-0 victory over the relegation-threatened Las Palmas. Atletico struggled to find the net in the first half, but Antoine Griezmann’s opener in the 61st minute came as a big relief, while Fernando Torres and Thomas also scored to lift the Indians to the 2nd place with six points clear of Valencia. Diego Simeone’s side is 11 points behind Barcelona and it is hard to expect them battling for the title, but a Champions League place should be achievable, so this clash is quite significant for the hosts.

Atletico Madrid played 33 games so far in the 2017/18, recording 17 victories, 12 draws, and four losses, with a goal difference of 50:19, which is 2.09 goals per contest on average. The Mattressers are without a home loss in LaLiga this season, but they drew four out of ten matches at Wanda Metropolitano, scoring just 14 goals and allowing four in return.

Antoine Griezmann is the team’s top scorer with 11 goals in 27 appearances; Kevin Gameiro has six, while Fernando Torres, Angel Correa, and Thomas contributed with five goals apiece. The French international Griezmann is also the most creative individual with seven assists to his name; Yannick Carrasco has six dishes so far, while Sime Vrsaljko and Correa recorded four assists each. Diego Simeone cannot count on the striker Diego Costa (muscle) and the left-back Filipe Luis (thigh), while Gameiro (stomach) and Nico Gaitan (illness) are listed as doubtful for this encounter.

VALENCIA

Unlike Atletico, the Bats managed to get through the semi-finals of Copa del Rey after beating Alaves on penalties, but the current negative form of three consecutive defeats is certainly concerning for coach Marcelino. Valencia was well-beaten in the latest LaLiga match as Real Madrid dismantled them, 4-1 at Mestalla, but it seemed that referee Fernandez damaged their chance to get a positive result by awarding a couple of penalties to the reigning champions, one of which was highly dubious. The Bats are currently in the 3rd place with 40 points, six behind Atletico and two more than Real Madrid, and are still in a strong position to play the elite European football next term, but it’s clear that their form took a hit of late.

Valencia played 27 games in this campaign, recording 16 victories, five draws, and seven losses, with a goal difference of 56:30, which is 3.18 goals per contest on average. The Bats are not playing well on the road recently as they won only one out of the previous six away matches, scoring seven goals and conceding nine in the process.

Rodrigo is the team’s leading scorer with 12 goals in 26 appearances; Santi Mina is following on a goal-scoring chart with 11 goals to his name, while Simone Zaza bagged ten goals at the moment. Goncalo Guedes is the best assist-maker with seven dishes; DaniParejo has six, while Rodrigo and Andreas Pereira added five assists apiece. Marcelino will be without the centre-back Jeison Murillo (osteitis pubis), while Geoffrey Kondogbia, Ezequiel Garay, and Guedes are all listed as questionable for this fixture.

Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia – Betting Trends and Match Prediction

  • Atletico Madrid scored in each of the last eight matches in total
  • Atletico Madrid allowed three goals in the previous three games at home
  • Valencia scored in each of the last eight games overall
  • Both teams scored in Valencia’s previous five road matches

Atletico Madrid won four out of the previous six H2H encounters as Valencia is searching for the first victory over the Mattressers since October 2014, while the latest tilt between these teams ended 0-0, back in September at Mestalla. The Bats recorded just one win in the past ten years in Madrid, and I don’t believe they will get three points here, but I think they can find the net behind Jan Oblak’s goal, despite the fact that Atletico’s defense is the best in LaLiga.

MY PICK: Both teams to score YES (-111)