Home NBA Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic Betting Pick 02/10/20

Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic Betting Pick 02/10/20

The Orlando Magic (22-31) look to put an end to a five-game home losing streak when they clash against the Atlanta Hawks (15-39) at Amway Center. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Florida.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic Betting Preview

The Hawks beat the New York Knicks in their last matchup, 140-135, but failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites. Trae Young was the game’s leading scorer with 48 points on 13-for-30 shooting. The Hawks made 28 of their 31 free throws (90.3 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 10.3 (better than their season average of 14.0). The two teams combined to score 275 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 225.

The last time the Magic played, they were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 111-95, and were unable to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. Nikola Vucevic led Orlando in scoring with 21 points on 10-for-20 shooting. Milwaukee held the Magic to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.1 (below their season average of 22.1). Orlando, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (8.0 vs. 13.8). Combined, the two squads scored 206 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 226.5.

This contest should be a matchup of opposite tempos. Atlanta has preferred an up-tempo style of play (second in possessions per game), while Orlando has been slower-paced (29th in possessions per game).

These two teams are complete opposites in terms of the O/U total. Games featuring Atlanta have finished over 56.6 percent of the time, while 56.6 percent of Orlando games have finished under. The Magic have the superior straight up (SU) record (22-31 vs. 15-39), but the Hawks hold the clear advantage against the spread (ATS) (25-28 vs. 22-27-4).

Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Hawks, it’s been John Collins, who has averaged 24 points,12.8 rebounds, while the Magic have gotten great contributions from Aaron Gordon (18 points,7.6 rebounds,1.4 steals).

These two teams have met twice already this year, with the Hawks winning both. Vucevic led both teams with 27 points in the most recent contest, in which the Magic lost 101-93, unable to cover as 10.5-point favorites. The two teams combined to score 194 points, which was 15 points below the projected point total of 209 points. The Hawks dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 27.5 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.537. The Magic were 21.2 and 0.444, respectively, for those same stats.

Hawks vs. Magic Free Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Hawks rank fourth in points in the paint per game (50.4) while the Magic rank 27th (44.3).

Orlando ranks 19th in rebounds per game (44.5) while Atlanta ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (46.9).

Orlando ranks sixth in steals per game (8.4) while Atlanta ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (9.0).

On the road, Atlanta is 10-18 ATS with 17 overs and 11 unders.

Orlando is 9-15-2 ATS at home with 18 unders and 8 overs.

Atlanta is 4-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Orlando is 12-4.

When reaching 100 points, the Magic are 18-12 and the Hawks are 15-32.

The Magic rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while the Hawks rank 24th (14.4).

Orlando ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.0) while Atlanta ranks 28th (19.8).

The Magic rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while the Hawks rank 26th (14.6).

Orlando averages 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).

Bettings Trends:

Orlando is 1-4 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, up from 1.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (7.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.6 points per game (4.1 above their season average).

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