The Oklahoma City Thunder (26-19) will be at home in Chesapeake Energy Arena when they meet the Atlanta Hawks (11-34). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Friday, January 24, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Preview
The Hawks defeated the Los Angeles Clippers in their last outing, 102-95, despite being 5-point underdogs. John Collins was the top scorer from either team with 33 points on 12-for-22 shooting. The Hawks had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 38.3 (above their season average of 20.7) and had a turnover percentage of 11.8 (better than their season average of 14.2). The two teams combined to score 197 points, which was well under the O/U total of 229.5.
In the Thunder’s last game, they topped the Orlando Magic, 120-114, as 2.5-point underdogs. Oklahoma City rallied around Dennis Schroder, who was the top scorer from either team with 31 points on 13-for-18 shooting. The Thunder knocked down 19 of their 23 free throws (82.6 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.664 (above their season average of 0.528). The two squads collectively scored 234 points, which was well over the O/U total of 210.5.
This is the first time these teams will meet this year, after splitting two games last season. The Hawks won the most recent matchup 142-126. Atlanta was lights out from beyond the arc (18-37; 48.6 percent). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, did a terrific job of making free throws (31-41; 75.6 percent).
Of Atlanta’s 45 games, 24 have finished over the O/U total, while 24 of Oklahoma City’s 45 games have finished under the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Thunder have a substantial advantage. They are 26-19 SU and 29-15-1 ATS, while the Hawks are 11-34 SU and 21-24 ATS.
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Hawks, it’s been Collins, who has averaged 17 points,8.2 rebounds,2.2 blocks, while the Thunder have received great contributions from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (19 points,10.2 rebounds,6.0 assists,1.4 steals).
The physical Oklahoma City offense might be getting to the charity stripe a lot in this showdown. The Thunder currently rank third in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.229, while Atlanta ranks 28th in FTA rate allowed (0.230). This game should be a battle of contrasting paces. The up-and-down Hawks rank second in possessions per game, while the more methodical Thunder rank 23rd.
Atlanta Hawks at Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over
The Thunder rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.6) while the Hawks rank 21st (14.4).
Atlanta averages 49.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Oklahoma City ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (50.0).
Oklahoma City ranks 10th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.2) while Atlanta ranks 29th (19.9).
Oklahoma City ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.6) while Atlanta ranks 20th (24.6).
Oklahoma City is 12-10-1 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 8-15 ATS on the road.
Of the Hawks’ 23 road games, they have 14 overs and 9 unders.
The Thunder have 12 overs and 11 unders in 23 home games.
When allowing below 100 points, Atlanta is 4-0 and Oklahoma City is 7-3.
The Hawks are 11-27 when they reach 100 points, while the Thunder are 25-12.
The Hawks rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (35.4) while the Thunder rank 25th (30.1).
Oklahoma City ranks third in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Atlanta ranks 27th (9.1).
The Thunder rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Hawks rank 29th (6.4).
The Thunder rank 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.4) while the Hawks rank 27th (47.3).
Oklahoma City ranks seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.2) while Atlanta ranks 29th (14.7).
Oklahoma City is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Atlanta is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 1.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (5.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.6 points per game (0.4 below their season average).