Home NBA Free NBA Picks Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free Pick 02/05/20

Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free Pick 02/05/20

The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-34) and the Atlanta Hawks (13-38) square off at Target Center. The Timberwolves will attempt to snap their 12-game losing streak. Minnesota opened as a 5.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 236 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North.

Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Preview

The Hawks lost to the Boston Celtics in their last matchup, 123-115. They were not able to cover as 6-point underdogs. Atlanta’s John Collins finished with 22 points and 11 rebounds in the game. Boston had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.7 (above their season average of 23.8). Atlanta, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (19-21; 90.5 percent). The two teams combined to score 238 points, which finished over the O/U total of 234.

The last time the Timberwolves took the floor, they were defeated by the Sacramento Kings, 113-109, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. Karl-Anthony Towns led Minnesota in scoring with 22 points on 7-for-17 shooting. Sacramento did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (23-31; 74.2 percent). Minnesota, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 22.7). The two teams combined to record 222 points, which finished under the O/U total of 227.

There could be a fair amount of transition offense in this battle that features two of the NBA’s more fast-paced teams. Minnesota currently ranks third in possessions per game (106.4) and Atlanta is fourth (106.4).

Of Atlanta’s 51 games, 29 have finished over the projected point total, while 26 of Minnesota’s 49 games have finished over the projected point total. The Timberwolves have the superior straight up (SU) record (15-34 vs. 13-38), but the Hawks hold the substantial advantage against the spread (ATS) (23-28 vs. 17-30-2).

These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 238 points in that game, which was just over the projected point total of 236.5. The Timberwolves won 125-113, covering as 4.5-point favorites. The Timberwolves dominated every stat category in the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.311 and a great offensive rebounding percentage of 29.8. The Hawks had marks of 0.223 and 21.4, respectively, for those same stats. Towns recorded a double-double with 28 points and 13 rebounds.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Timberwolves average 46.0 rebounds per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Hawks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.0).

Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.5) while Atlanta ranks eighth (35.4).

Minnesota ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (48.8) while Atlanta ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.5).

Atlanta is 8-18 ATS on the road with 16 overs and 10 unders.

At home, Minnesota is 5-18-1 ATS with 12 overs and 12 unders.

When holding opponents below 100 points, Minnesota is 2-1 and Atlanta is 4-0.

The Timberwolves are 14-27 when they score above 100 points, while the Hawks are 13-31.

The Timberwolves rank 10th in fast break points allowed per game (12.5) while the Hawks rank 25th (14.6).

Minnesota ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.0) while Atlanta ranks 29th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).

The Timberwolves average 8.5 steals per game, which ranks third in the league. The Hawks rank 27th in steals allowed per game (8.9).

The Timberwolves rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7) while the Hawks rank 28th (19.9).

Minnesota ranks seventh in second chance points per game (14.1) while Atlanta ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.6).

Bettings Trends:

Minnesota is 0-5 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.2, up from 3.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 121.6 points per game (12.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 125.2 points per game (6.9 above their season average).

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