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In this NL East matchup, the Phillies (79-66, 43-30 home) play host to the Braves (95-50, 48-25 away) at Citizens Bank Park. Taking the mound for the Phillies is Cristopher Sánchez, while the Braves will go with Spencer Strider. Check out my pick for four of this Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves matchup.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, September 13th.

WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES:

  • In their previous three games, the Phillies are 2-1 vs. the runline.
  • Against the runline, the Phillies have gone 2-1 in their three games at home.
  • Over his last three starts, Cristopher Sánchez has an ERA of just 2.93.

CAN THE ATLANTA BRAVES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?

The Braves enter today's game with an overall record of 95-50 which includes going 52-29 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 1st in the NL East. Across their 45 series, Atlanta is 32-10-3 and have records of 48-25 and 47-25 on the road and at home, respectively.

Today, Atlanta's Spencer Strider will take the mound in hopes of avoiding another long ball. The right-hander has been impressive this season, boasting a 16-5 record and 3.83 ERA. His 250 strikeouts have come at an impressive rate of 13.89 K/9, while his walk rate stands at 2.89 BB/9.

Spencer Strider will attempt to rebound from a brief appearance against the Cardinals. In the Braves' 11-6 defeat, Strider surrendered six runs in 2 2/3 innings of action.

This season, the Braves are 1st in the league at 5.8 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .247 (14th) leading to 5.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.3 walks per game compared to 7 strikeouts. Atlanta's on-base percentage of .344 has them 1st in the MLB.

Over the past five games, Matt Olson has been the Braves' most productive hitter, batting .525. He has been a major contributor to the team's offense this season, with a .281 average and 128 RBIs.

WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

On a record of 79-66, the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East. At home, they have put together a win percent of 58.9% compared to 50.0% on the road. This season, Philadelphia has gone 43-45 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 25-17-3.

The Phillies will turn to starter Cristopher Sánchez, who has a 2-3 record across 15 appearances this season. His ERA stands at 3.26, and his K/9 figure is 8.21. Additionally, Sánchez has compiled a FIP of 4.15 and an OBP of .265 thus far in 2023.

Cristopher Sánchez's most recent outing for the Phillies saw him pitch five innings without giving up a run, yielding only four hits. Despite his impressive performance, the team ultimately fell to the Marlins 3-2. As a result, Sánchez was handed a no-decision for his efforts.

For the season, the Phillies' offense is averaging 4.9 runs per game. Over their last five games they have swung the bats well, sitting 7th in the league in scoring, with a total of 25 runs. Overall, Philadelphia's team batting average is .259, putting them 4th in the MLB.

Over the Phillies' past five contests, Trea Turner has been their most prolific hitter, batting .444. This season, he has a .272 average and has driven in 75 runs.