Army West Point at Western Kentucky College Football Betting Pick 10/12/19


The Army West Point Black Knights (-4) are set to face off against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Houchens-Smith Stadium. Fans are able to tune in to the action on STAD and the game is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. ET.

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Army West Point vs. Western Kentucky Betting Odds 10/12/2019

Army West Point is favored by 4 points in this game. The Black Knights are currently getting -185 moneyline odds while the Hilltoppers are +165. The over/under is set at 42.5 points, and on the surface it appears that there should be some good in-game betting possibilities in this matchup.

The opening line was 3.5 while the total hasn’t moved since it opened at 42.5.

The Black Knights are 3-2 straight up (SU) while the Hilltoppers are also 3-2 SU. The Black Knights have recorded 0.0 units so far and are 2-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 2-2-1.

The Hilltoppers have gained 0.1 units this season. They’re 3-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-3.

The Black Knights are looking to bounce back after a 42-33 loss to Tulane last week. The Black Knights defense allowed the Green Wave to eat up the clock by rushing for 324 yards on 53 attempts, including five rush TDs. On the offensive side, Kelvin Hopkins Jr. completed just nine-of-24 passes for 170 yards, as well as a score and a pick. Hopkins Jr. (132 rushing yards on 24 attempts, two TDs) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Connor Slomka (47 yards on 10 carries, one TD). Camden Harrison (five receptions, 103 yards, one TD) and Kell Walker (two catches, 23 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Western Kentucky is coming off of a 20-3 win over Old Dominion. Ty Storey completed 21-of-28 passes for 193 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Gaej Walker (114 yards on 25 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running attack while Jahcour Pearson (seven receptions, 67 yards) and Lucky Jackson (four catches, 20 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Army West Point has run the ball on 86.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Western Kentucky has an overall rush percentage of 48 percent. The Black Knights have rushed for 273 yards/game and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Hilltoppers are averaging 97 rush yards per contest and have five total rushing TDs.

The Black Knights have averaged 73 yards through the air overall and have three passing scores so far. The Hilltoppers have put up 234 pass yards per game and have eight total pass TDs.

Army West Point has allowed opponents to run for an average of 148 yards and pass for 187 yards per game. Western Kentucky has allowed 109.8 yards per game on the ground and 193 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Black Knights have given up an ANY/A of 5.33 to opposing QBs, while the Hilltoppers are allowing an ANY/A of 5.81.

Hopkins Jr. has put up 266 pass yards this season, and has connected on 14-of-36 attempts with two passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Hopkins Jr.’s got a 5.26 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.56 over the last two games.

Ty Storey has produced 193 yards, one TD and one INT for Western Kentucky. His ANY/A sits at 5.31 for the year and 6.71 over his last two outings.

Army West Point Black Knights vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Western Kentucky, ATS Winner – Western Kentucky, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The Western Kentucky D has sacked opposing QBs 13 times this year. Army West Point has recorded 11 sacks.

Western Kentucky has lost four fumbles this season while the Army West Point offense has let seven get away.

The Black Knights offense has registered one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Hilltoppers have accounted for four such plays.

The Army West Point defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Western Kentucky has given up four such plays.

The Army West Point offense has created seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Western Kentucky has created two such run.

The Black Knights defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Hilltoppers have given up one such run.

As a team, Army West Point has produced 5.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.3 over its last two.

Western Kentucky has averaged 2.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 2.4 over its past two.

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