Arkansas State vs. No. 3 Georgia Free Pick 9/14/19

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (+34) are set to face off against the No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs at Sanford Stadium. This pivotal daytime game is scheduled to start at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on ESPN2.

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Arkansas State vs. No. 3 Georgia Betting Odds 9/14/2019

Arkansas State is a heavy live dog here and is currently getting 34 points by oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 57.5 points. It appears that there could be some good live betting opportunities in this contest.

Betting odds have swayed a hair from when they were originally posted. The opening line was -34 and the game’s O/U was placed initially at 57.

The Red Wolves are 1-1 straight up (SU) while the Bulldogs are 2-0 SU. The Red Wolves are down 0.1 units this season and 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Bulldogs have gained 0.0 units this year. They’re 1-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-1.

The Red Wolves want to make it two in a row 43-17 victory over UNLV last week where Logan Bonner completed 22-of-37 passes for 284 yards and two touchdowns. Ryan Graham (103 yards on 12 rushes, one TD) and Isaiah Azubuike (25 yards on 11 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Omar Bayless (six receptions, 149 yards, one TD) and Brandon Bowling (five catches, 40 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Georgia just earned a 63-17 win over Murray State. The defensive secondary allowed the Racers to air it out for 261 yards. Daquon Green was a bright spot in the defeat for Murray State, recording 101 yards and a score on five catches. As a group, the Dawgs collectively completed 20-of-25 passes for 292 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Stetson Bennett went nine-for-13 for 124 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Jake Fromm was 10-of-11 for 166 yards and one touchdown. Kenny McIntosh (61 yards on nine rush attempts) and Zamir White (72 yards on eight carries, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win while Eli Wolf (four receptions, 73 yards) and George Pickens (four catches, 78 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Arkansas State’s run the ball on 43.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia has an overall rush percentage of 62.5 percent. The Red Wolves have produced 152 rush yards per game and have two scores via handoffs this year. The Dawgs are putting up 297 rushing yards per contest and have seven total rush TDs.

It appears that the Dawgs might own an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 7.4 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 2.4 to opponents. The Red Wolves have tallied 4.5 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents.

The Red Wolves have averaged 304 yards in the air overall and have six passing scores so far. The Dawgs have produced 224 pass yards per game and have four total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Arkansas State has allowed 168 rush yards and 236 pass yards per game. Georgia has been a bit better than that, allowing 69.5 yards per game on the ground and 185 to opponents in the air. The Dawgs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.7 to opponents, while the Red Wolves have given up a 4.33 ANY/A.

Fromm has been more productive than Bonner lately. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 14.75 for the year and 10.09 over his last two games while Bonner’s ANY/A is 8.76 and 7.44 over the past two outings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Georgia Bulldogs NCAA Pick

SU Winner – Georgia, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Georgia D has recorded eight sacks on the year while Arkansas State has seven.

Both offenses have lost two fumbles this season.

The Red Wolves offense has produced two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Bulldogs have accounted for one such play.

The Arkansas State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia has given up two such plays.

The Arkansas State offense has created three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Georgia has created four such runs.

The Red Wolves defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Bulldogs have given up two such runs.

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