Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars ATS Odds Pick 01/09/20

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SBC foes will battle when the South Alabama Jaguars (9-7, 2-3 SBC) go head-to-head against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-5, 3-2 SBC) at the Mitchell Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 9, 2020.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

In the Red Wolves’ last outing, they edged the Georgia State Panthers, 90-87. With 16 points and 10 rebounds, Arkansas State’s Melo Eggleston played well. Arkansas State played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.654 (above their season average of 0.312) and a turnover percentage of 11.3 (better than their season average of 17.0). Georgia State put up marks of 0.226 and 14.7, respectively, for those same stats.

The Jaguars hope to maintain momentum after beating the UT Arlington Mavericks in their last contest, 66-54. South Alabama’s Josh Ajayi played a pivotal role with 14 points and 13 rebounds. The Jaguars knocked down 12 of their 17 free throws (70.6 percent) and held the Mavericks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.390 (below their season average of 0.491).

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams square off. South Alabama ranks 288th in possessions per game (67.6) and Arkansas State is 291st (67.4). Additionally, the Red Wolves are among the nation’s best at getting to the line, ranking first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.333). The Jaguars, however, rank 50th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.168).

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Jaguars won two out of three contests played against each other last season. In the last game, South Alabama won 75-67. South Alabama’s 0.269 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Arkansas State, who had a rate of 0.118.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars Odds Prediction

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – South Alabama, ATS Winner – South Alabama, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

Arkansas State averages 14.4 assists per game, which ranks 79th in the nation. South Alabama ranks 143rd in assists allowed per game (13.0).

Bettings Trends:

The Jaguars’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 3.5 for the season.

During their last five games, the Red Wolves have scored an average of 71.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 72.4 points per game (3.3 above their season average).

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