Arizona vs. Colorado College Football Betting Pick 10/5/19


The Arizona Wildcats and Colorado Buffaloes are set to do battle on the grass at Folsom Field. This pivotal afternoon game starts at 4:30 p.m. ET and Pac-12 Networks is scheduled to televise the action.

Arizona at Colorado Betting Odds 10/5/2019

Colorado is giving up 2 points in this Pac-12 game. The Wildcats are currently being given +110 moneyline odds while the Buffaloes are -130. The over/under has been set at 64 points, and based on how it’s shaping up, there should be multiple good live betting opportunities for this matchup.

With the game’s over/under initially set at 63, the early action has apparently swayed toward the over.

The Wildcats are 3-1 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Buffaloes are 3-1 SU overall and are also 1-0 SU in conference play. The Wildcats are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.8 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 2-2.

The Buffaloes have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 3.6 units. The team is 3-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-1-1.

The Wildcats are coming off a 20-17 victory over UCLA last week. Grant Gunnell completed 29-of-44 passes for 352 yards and one touchdown. Gary Brightwell (33 rushing yards on seven attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Brian Casteel (seven receptions, 44 yards) and Darrius Smith (five catches, 99 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Colorado is coming off of a 34-31 win over Arizona State. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Sun Devils to pass for 345 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 108 yards and two scores. Brandon Aiyuk was a bright spot in the loss for Arizona State, recording 122 yards and a score on nine catches. For Colorado, Steven Montez completed 23-of-30 passes for 337 yards and three touchdowns. Alex Fontenot (89 yards on 25 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game while Tony Brown (nine receptions, 150 yards, three TDs) and K.D. Nixon (six catches, 98 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Arizona has run the ball on 55.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Colorado has an overall rush percentage of 52.7 percent. The Wildcats have rushed for 256 yards/game and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Buffaloes are totaling 144 rush yards per contest and have eight total rushing TDs.

If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then it appears the Buffaloes ought to hold an edge when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has given up just five sacks while the D-line has logged nine sacks. The Wildcats O-line has given up seven sacks and their defense has created only four sacks.

The Wildcats have averaged 297 yards through the air overall and have 10 passing TDs so far. The Buffaloes have recorded 291 pass yards per outing and have nine total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Arizona has allowed 137 rush yards and 336 pass yards per game. Colorado has allowed 175.5 yards per game on the ground and 291 to opposing teams in the air. The Wildcats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.64 to opponents, while the Buffaloes have allowed a 7.99 ANY/A.

Montez has tallied 944 yards, seven TDs and one INT for Colorado. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 10.79 for the year and 7.95 over his last two outings. In the other locker room, Gunnell is up to 503 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 38-of-55 attempts with four passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Gunnell’s got a 9.79 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 7.83 over the past two outings.

These two teams met a year ago with the final outcome being a 42-34 win for Arizona.

Arizona Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes Betting Pick

SU Winner – Colorado, ATS Winner – Colorado, O/U – Over


Team Betting Trends

The Over/Under for Arizona’s last game was 68.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-17 victory over UCLA.

As a team, Arizona has rushed for 6.2 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 4.5 over its last two.

Colorado has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.4 over its past two.

The Colorado offense has lost two fumbles this season while Arizona has let one get away.

Over its last three games, Arizona is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Colorado’s last matchup was set at 48.5. The over cashed in the 34-31 victory over Arizona State.

In its last three games, Colorado is 2-1 ATS.

The Wildcats offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Buffaloes have put up three such plays.

Both teams have allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Arizona defense has given up 11 pass plays of 30+ yards while Colorado has given up nine such plays.

The Arizona offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Colorado has created three such runs.

The Wildcats defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Buffaloes have given up three such runs.

The Colorado defense has produced nine sacks on the year while Arizona has four.

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