José Quintana will get the start for the Mets (65-77, 35-33 home) as they host the Diamondbacks (75-69, 37-34 away) at Citi Field. The Diamondbacks will give the starting nod to Zach Davies. Check out my prediction for game one of this National League matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Monday, September 11th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- In their last five games, the Diamondbacks have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Mets have struggled against the runline when favored of late, failing to cover in two straight times.
- In Zach Davies’ three most recent starts, the Diamondbacks are 2-1.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL WEST
The Diamondbacks head into today’s game ranked 2nd in the NL West on an overall record of 75-69. So far, they have put together an above .500 mark on the road at 37-34 and across 47 series, they are 25-18-4.
Zach Davies has made 15 appearances so far this season, with a .444 slugging percentage allowed and a WHIP of 1.60. His overall record is 2-5, ERA 6.81, and he has 59 strikeouts for an average of 7.44 per nine innings. On the road, Davies is 1-1 with an ERA of 1.02; at home he is 1-4 with an ERA of 7.45.
Zach Davies will be aiming to rebound from his last start, where he pitched three innings and allowed five runs on six hits. His performance resulted in a no-decision for the Diamondbacks, who ultimately won 12-5 over the Rockies.
With a season-long average of 4.6 runs per game, the Diamondbacks are the 13th ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .253, with an OBP of .323. In Arizona’s last ten games, they are 11th in home runs, having gone deep 11 times in that span.
Tommy Pham has been a key contributor to the Diamondbacks’ offense this season, leading the team with 15 home runs in their last five games. His batting average is currently at .261, and he has hit two home runs in the same span.
WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
142 games into the season, the Mets have a record of 65-77, putting them 4th in the NL East. This mark includes an overall series 16-24-6. At home, they are 35-33 compared to 30-44 on the road.
José Quintana will take the mound for the Mets with a 2-5 record. In nine appearances, he has maintained an ERA of 3.00 and allowed opposing batters to hit .240 against him. Quintana has struck out 39 batters while walking 21, and his WHIP is 1.26 with a SLG allowed of .306.
The Mets emerged victorious in José Quintana’s most recent start, defeating the Nationals 11-5. The left-hander pitched seven innings, giving up four hits and one earned run to earn his fourth win of the season.
During their last ten games, New York is the 14th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .245 and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Mets are hitting .237 with an OBP of .317 while averaging 4.4 runs per contest. This figure puts them 19th in the league.
The Mets’ Jeff McNeil leads the team in hits, boasting a .265 batting average. His slugging percentage stands at .358 and his on-base percentage is .330 as he heads into this game.