Appalachian State vs. Georgia State College Football Betting Pick 11/16/19


Two schools that prefer to run the football, Head Coach Shawn Elliott and the Georgia State Panthers are getting 14 points as they prepare to welcome their in-conference nemesis Appalachian State Mountaineers to Parker H. Petit Field at Georgia State Stadium. The game is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on ESPNU.

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Appalachian State at Georgia State Betting Odds 11/16/2019

The line for this SBC game is placed at 14 points in favor of Appalachian State. The Mountaineers are currently receiving -735 moneyline odds while the Panthers are +500. The over/under has been set at 62.5 points. If one team gets out in front early, it would likely produce a worthwhile in-game betting scenario.

The opening line was 14.5. The game’s over/under hasn’t moved since it was initially posted at 62.5.

The Mountaineers are 8-1 straight up (SU), including 4-1 SU against conference opponents. The Panthers are 6-3 SU overall and 3-2 SU in conference play. The Mountaineers have recorded 1.0 unit so far and are 6-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 4-5.

The Panthers are up 3.8 units this season. They’re 5-2-2 ATS and the over’s hit in five of their games.

The Mountaineers just recorded a 20-15 victory over South Carolina last week. Zac Thomas completed nine-of-15 passes for only 105 yards and one interception. Darrynton Evans (85 rushing yards on 23 attempts) led the running attack. Corey Sutton (three receptions, 38 yards) and Evans (two catches, 32 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

One week ago, Louisiana-Monroe got the win against this Georgia State crew by a score of 45-31. As a group, the team collectively completed 13-of-28 passes for 122 yards. Cornelious Brown went eight-for-18 for 80 yards while Dan Ellington was five-of-10 for 42 yards. Tra Barnett (190 yards on 32 rush attempts, two TDs) and Dan Ellington (91 yards on nine carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Cornelius McCoy (five receptions, 38 yards) and Jonathan Ifedi (two catches, 18 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

When breaking down offensive play selection, each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Appalachian State’s run the ball on 60.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Georgia State has an overall rush percentage of 61.9. The Mountaineers have run for 222 yards per game (including 237 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have 22 scores on the ground this year. The Panthers are totaling 275 rush yards per contest (340 in conference) and have 24 total rushing TDs.

The Mountaineers have averaged 194 yards through the air overall (213 per game versus conference opposition) and have 16 passing scores so far. The Panthers have recorded 210 pass yards per outing (206.8 in the SBC) and have 18 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Appalachian State should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 149 yards and throw for 183 yards per game. Georgia State has allowed 208.0 rushing yards per game and 256.3 to opposing teams in the air. The Mountaineers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.07 to opponents, while the Panthers have given up an 8.08 ANY/A.

Ellington has recorded 1,624 yards, 16 TDs and three INTs. Ellington’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.30 for the season and 5.76 across his last two outings. In the other locker room, Thomas is up to 1,400 passing yards on the year, and has completed 123-of-186 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Thomas has a 6.83 ANY/A, including 5.39 over the last two games.

These two schools faced off last year with the final outcome being a 45-17 win for Appalachian State.

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Georgia State Panthers Free Pick

SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The Appalachian State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 21 times this season. Georgia State has recorded 16 sacks.

Georgia State has lost six fumbles this season while the Appalachian State offense has lost one.

The Mountaineers offense has registered seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Panthers have put up five such plays.

The Appalachian State defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia State has given up nine such plays.

The Appalachian State offense has created 22 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Georgia State has created 15 such runs.

The Mountaineers defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Panthers have given up 19 such runs.

The Over/Under for Georgia State’s last game was set at 76. The O/U pushed in the 45-31 loss to Louisiana-Monroe.

Over its last three contests, Georgia State is 2-1 ATS.

In its last three games, Appalachian State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Appalachian State’s last game was set at 51. The under cashed in the team’s 20-15 victory over South Carolina.

As a team, Appalachian State has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.5 over its last two.

Georgia State has averaged 6.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 7.3 over its last two.

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