The Abilene Christian Wildcats (11-8, 6-2 SthLnd) travel to Stephen F. Austin to play the Lumberjacks (17-3, 8-1 SthLnd) in what should be a fast-paced game. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2020.
Abilene Christian Wildcats at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Odds Preview
The Wildcats won a close one over the Central Arkansas Bears in their last contest, 70-69. Payten Ricks was the top scorer from either team with 24 points on 7-for-17 shooting. Abilene Christian’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Central Arkansas. The Wildcats had a rate of 18.4 (worse than their season average of 16.6), while the Bears posted a mark of 25.1 (above their season average of 20.5).
The last time the Lumberjacks played, they beat the Lamar Cardinals, 70-62. With 18 points on 7-for-11 shooting, John Comeaux was the top scorer from either team. The Lumberjacks held the Cardinals to an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.7 (below their season average of 32.4). The Cardinals also had a turnover percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 18.3).
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after splitting two games last season. The Wildcats won the most recent contest 72-58. The Wildcats dominated every facet of the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.291 and an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 36.1. The Lumberjacks recorded marks of 0.140 and 24.3, respectively, for those same stats.
Baskets could be hard to come by in this contest between two of the country’s best defenses. Stephen F. Austin ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency (89.7) and Abilene Christian is 21st (89.5). Also, the Wildcats rank 39th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.274), while the Lumberjacks rank 352nd in opponents’ FTA rate (0.353).
Abilene Christian at Stephen F. Austin ATS Prediction
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Stephen F. Austin, ATS Winner – Stephen F. Austin, O/U – Under
The Wildcats rank 11th in assists allowed per game (9.6) while the Lumberjacks rank 77th (11.7).
Abilene Christian ranks 11th in steals per game (9.4) while Stephen F. Austin ranks 179th in steals allowed per game (7.5).
The Wildcats rank 123rd in three pointers attempted per game (22.5) while the Lumberjacks rank 273rd (16.4).
Stephen F. Austin ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (30.1) while Abilene Christian ranks 88th (33.6).
The Lumberjacks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, down from 14.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wildcats have scored an average of 74.8 points per game (1.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.0 points per game (5.7 above their season average).