7-9 (5-11 ATS), 4th Place AFC South in 2009
One bad season is an accident. Two is a trend. A third will certainly get HC Jack Del Rio fired as the man in charge of the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags finished at 7-9 and in the gutter of the AFC South for the second straight season in 2009, and many wondered whether or not Del Rio would be retained. He was, but he is inevitably on some shaky ground. Jacksonville doesn't have much in the way of expectations from the NFL betting fans' standpoint, but in the Sunshine State, anything less than a playoff berth is unacceptable.
2010 Draft: Who knows what the Jags were thinking when they left the likes of Derrick Morgan and Jason Pierre-Paul on the board in the first round of the NFL Draft this past year? Instead, they elected to go with Cal DE Tyson Alualu, who was considered a late first round pick by most accounts heading into draft day. Yes, Alualu has a tremendous upside, but so did previous first round selections Matt Jones and Reggie Williams for Jacksonville. We see how well those picks worked out. This one might turn out to be just as bad.
Offensive Outlook: The offense for the Jaguars really hasn't looked all that efficient with QB David Garrard under center for the last four seasons. They only finished in the Top 10 in one category in the league, and averaged just 18.1 points per game, good enough for 24th in the NFL. The highlight was RB Maurice Jones-Drew, who rushed for just over 1,300 yards in his first year as a full-time starting back in this league. His 16 total touchdowns led the team as well. However, there were no 1,000 yard receivers on Jacksonville in spite of the fact that Garrard had his second straight 3,500+ yard campaign last year.
Defensive Outlook: Del Rio's team should be built on its defense, but the truth of the matter is that the club was absolutely woeful there last year. The Jaguars conceded 23.8 points per game in '09, one of the worst marks in the entire conference, and allowing 352.3 yards per game wasn't much more enticing. Getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks was of utmost concern, as the leading sack man on the team last year was the now departed DT John Henderson, who had just three. Alualu will theoretically help matters, but Derrick Harvey (two sacks in '09) and Quentin Groves (no sacks in '09 and no longer on the team) were supposed to help that cause out as well. It's a wonder how this team intercepted 16 passes on the season.
2010 Betting Outlook: For whatever reason, the oddsmakers still believed in the Jaguars, especially at home last season. Going 2-6 ATS there proves that this squad has virtually no home field advantage to speak of save Mother Nature. Jacksonville consistently was laying points last season in games that it should have been underdogs in (Home vs. Miami, Away @ Seattle, Home vs. Arizona), and thanks to this perception that the team has a defense and strategy that can hurt the Colts, Indy covered a pair of spreads against it as well. Things probably aren't going to be much better for the Jags this year either.
Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions: 5-11, 4th Place in AFC South 2010 Jacksonville Jaguars Schedule
All Odds for 2010 NFL betting season can be found at BetMania.
Jacksonville Jaguars Odds To Win AFC South: +600
Jacksonville Jaguars Odds To Win AFC: +3000
Jacksonville Jaguars Odds To Win Super Bowl XLV: +10000
Jacksonville Jaguars Regular Season Win Total: 7 over +105
It seems to be a bit of poetic justice that QB Tim Tebow is going to start his NFL career by playing a game in Jacksonville. Believe us when we say that there are going to be more #15 blue and orange jerseys in the crowd than Jags jerseys. Del Rio would much rather open up the season on the road, as a loss to Denver, particularly if Tebow is the starting quarterback, could start a very long season of second guessing and dismay in Jacksonville. Don't be shocked if Del Rio is gone before the season is over.
Week 1 - Home vs. Broncos
Week 2 - Away @ Chargers
Week 3 - Home vs. Eagles
Week 4 - Home vs. Colts
Week 5 - Away @ Bills
Week 6 - Home vs. Titans
Week 7 - Away @ Chiefs
Week 8 - Away @ Cowboys
Week 9 - Bye
Week 10 - Home vs. Texans
Week 11 - Home vs. Browns
Week 12 - Away @ Giants
Week 13 - Away @ Titans
Week 14 - Home vs. Raiders
Week 15 - Away @ Colts
Week 16 - Home vs. Redskins
Week 17 - Away @ Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions: 5-11, 4th Place in AFC South
2010 Jacksonville Jaguars Schedule