The 2009 campaign was a long one for the Buffalo Bills, and the way things are shaping up, they might not be much shorter in 2010. The team really lacked any sort of a killer instinct in most of their games, and when they fell behind, it felt like they were trailing once and for all. As a result, HC Chan Gailey has been brought in to try to right the ship, something that he hasn't had a lot of success in doing in most of his stops in his coaching career.
2010 Draft: The best move that this organization made this year was passing on QB Jimmy Clausen in the first round of the NFL Draft. Instead, at #9 overall, they took Clemson RB CJ Spiller to add some excitement to an otherwise vanilla offense with little hope of popping 30+ yard plays. Was the proof in the pudding? Clausen was still hanging around a full round later. Perhaps passing on DT Terrence Cody in the second round will ultimately be a mistake, but Buffalo preferred Central Florida DT Torell Troup instead. Troup should step in and immediately give the Bills a nose tackle to be feared by opposing centers.
Offensive Outlook: It's certainly grim to say the least for the Bills. Buffalo ranked 30th in the league last year both in total offense (273.9 yards per game) and passing offense (157.2 yards per game). Perhaps QB Trent Edwards will get yet another shot to win the starting quarterback job, but perhaps he won't as well. Both incumbent Ryan Fitzpatrick and longshot Brian Brohm have to be considered possibilities going into training camp. Either way, we aren't particularly excited, and neither can WR Lee Evans, who had a disappointing 612 receiving yards and seven scores in spite of the fact that he played in all 16 games last year for the Bills.
Defensive Outlook: There isn't much to get overly thrilled at on the defense either for the Bills. The additions of Troup and DE Alex Carrington from Arkansas State could help out the front line, but the bottom line is that this rush defense is going to be pretty pathetic once again in all likelihood. Save LB Paul Posluszny, no one else had a particularly notable year against opposing running games. Buffalo ranked third to last in the league against the run at 156.3 yards per game. However, if there is a bright side, it is that second year man DB Jairus Byrd is coming off of a great rookie campaign in which he picked off nine passes and quite possibly got shafted out of Defensive Rookie of the Year honors. The Bills only conceded 184.2 yards per game through the air last season, partially because of a solid secondary and partially because of the squad's lack of holding a lead late in games.
2010 Betting Outlook: A grim offense, a grim defense, and a questionable head coach could be setting up for a disaster, particularly early in the season for the Bills before the oddsmakers catch on to just how bad this team is. Finishing 8-8 ATS last year might have been a miracle, but if the linesmakers try to handicap this team as if it was as "good" as it was last year at 6-10, they are going to be sorely mistaken.
All Odds for 2010 NFL betting season can be found at Brobury Sportsbook. Buffalo Bills Predictions: 3-13, 4th Place in AFC East 2010 Buffalo Bills Schedule
Buffalo Bills Odds To Win AFC East: +2500
Buffalo Bills Odds To Win AFC: +6000
Buffalo Bills Odds To Win Super Bowl XLV: +20000
Buffalo Bills Regular Season Win Total: 5.5 over +110
Obviously, we think that the Bills are in a mess load of trouble this season. They just don't have the horses to compete in most games in this division, and though the schedule pans out as nice as humanly possible considering the fact that they finished last in the AFC East in 2009, that won't save them from being in the gutter again. Stay away from the Bills at all costs this season.
Week 1 - Home vs. Dolphins
Week 2 - Away @ Packers
Week 3 - Away @ Patriots
Week 4 - Home vs. Jets
Week 5 - Home vs. Jaguars
Week 6 - Bye
Week 7 - Away @ Ravens
Week 8 - Away @ Chiefs
Week 9 - Home vs. Bears
Week 10 - Home vs. Lions
Week 11 - Away @ Bengals
Week 12 - Home vs. Steelers
Week 13 - Away @ Vikings
Week 14 - Home vs. Browns
Week 15 - Away @ Dolphins
Week 16 - Home vs. Patriots
Week 17 - Away @ Jets
Buffalo Bills Predictions: 3-13, 4th Place in AFC East
2010 Buffalo Bills Schedule