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1) Sunday October 25th: Minnesota @ Pittsburgh
Sorry Vikings the party is over for your undefeated run. The Vikings should have lost last week and will take a beating this week. The pass defense is not good and the Steelers will shred it. The Vikings are just 12-20-1 ATS as non-division road dogs. The defending champs are 28-16-2 ATS off a double-digit division win. The Steelers have cashed eight of nine in the second half of back-to-back home games versus a non-division foe and they are 8-3 ATS as non-conference favorites of more than three points.
Play: Steelers -4.5
2) Sunday October 25th: Green Bay @ Cleveland
When you talk about look ahead games there should not be one bigger than this week when the Packers travel to Cleveland. They will not be able to get up for Cleveland when they have a big game next week when Brett Favre comes back to Green Bay. Cleveland has covered eight of its last 11 after playing Pittsburgh and six straight in October. Cleveland can put a pass rush on with the weak offensive line for the Packers and Green Bay is on upset alert.
Play: Browns +7
3) Sunday October 25th: San Francisco @ Houston
The 49ers are off a bye but that is not always a good thing as they are 1-4 ATS with rest. My favorite spot is to play a team off an outright win on the road as an underdog. The defense may be questionable but the offense is clicking in Houston. The 49ers are 5-12 ATS on the road when facing an opponent that won straight up as a dog. Look for the niners to be beat again on the corner and for Houston to get the win and the cover.
Play: Houston -3
4) Sunday October 25th: New Orleans @ Miami
The Saints are off a very big win against the Giants and find themselves in a sandwich spot as they face the Atlanta Falcons next in a divisional match up. The Dolphins, coming off their bye week, have won back-to-back games at Land Shark Stadium. They have ‘covered’ 12 of 14 as non-division dogs of six points or more. Miami is ready to keep winning and this coaching staff knows how to prepare off of a bye week.
Play: Miami +7
5) Sunday October 25th: Patriots Vs Bucs (London)
The NFL travels to London for a game between the Bucs and the Patriots. The Patriots are off a huge win as they destroyed the Titans 59-0. This week they may put up the same kind of numbers against the Bucs. It looks like they have thrown in the towel already on the season. The Patriots are 24-12-1 ATS after allowing 10 points or less, and Tampa Bay has dropped six of seven spread decisions as underdogs of more than seven points. The Pats have a better coaching staff to prepare for the trip and the NFL will want a good show. Don’t be afraid to drop the big number.
Play: Patriots -14.5
6) Sunday October 25th: Arizona @ Giants
Arizona is off a very impressive win against the Seahawks but they are in for big trouble this week. The defending NFC champs are 10-25-1 ATS on the road versus non-division competition and just 5-15 ATS off a double-digit division win. The New York Giants have cashed nine of their last 10 against NFC-West rivals, while the Cardinals are 1-7 ATS on the road against NFC-East occupants. Arizona struggles on the east coast and the Giants are steaming from the blowout loss to the Saints.
Play: Giants -7
7) Monday October 26th Eagles @ Redskins
The Eagles and the redskins are off very humiliating losses. The Redskins made a move by stripping Zorn of the play calling duties and that should ignite this offense with a change of scheme. The Eagles are the better team but we won’t pass on a home divisional dog on Monday night. The dog has covered in eight of the last nine meetings between these NFC-East foes. Washington has managed to cash 13 of 17 as home dogs of 6 ½ or more. A win will be the only thing that will give Jim Zorn another week.
Play: Redskins +7
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