The Penguins and Phoenix are set to face off at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The Phoenix will host the game at Resch Center in Ashwaubenon, WI. Youngstown State is favored by -5 in this Horizon League conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 143.5 points.

YOUNGSTOWN STATE PENGUINS VS GREEN BAY PHOENIX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Green Bay Phoenix +5

This game will be played at Resch Center at 3:00 ET on Sunday, February 25th.

WHY BET THE GREEN BAY PHOENIX:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Phoenix.
  • Not only will Green Bay pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Do the Penguins Have What it Takes on the Road?

Youngstown State is 20-9 overall this season and 12-5 in Horizon League play. On the road, the Penguins have gone 7-7 compared to 9-1 at home. They have been favored in 17 of their 29 games, going 14-3 as the favorite.

Coming off an 84-80 win over Milwaukee, Youngstown State has gone 6-4 in its last 10 road games. For the season, the Penguins have outscored their opponents by an average of 3.0 points per game on the road.

When looking at Youngstown State’s ATS record this season, they are currently 14-10. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Penguins have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Youngstown State’s over/under record this season is 13-10-1, and today’s over/under line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150.6). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 160 points.

The Youngstown State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 84 points vs. Milwaukee. Overall their field goal percentage was 41% while connecting on 5 threes. Ziggy Reid is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, DJ Burns brings a PPG average of 13.1 into the game.

On defense, Youngstown State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.5 points per game. Youngstown State’s three-point defense is currently 115th in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.3% of their shots vs. Youngstown State.

Does Green Bay Stand a Chance at Home?

Green Bay enters this game with a 17-11 overall record, including a 12-5 mark in Horizon League play. The Phoenix have lost two straight games, and they are 8-3 at home this season.

On the year, Green Bay has been the underdog 18 times, going 10-8 in those games. In their last outing, the Phoenix fell to Purdue Fort Wayne by a score of 85-59.

As the underdog this season, Green Bay has gone an impressive 13-5 against the spread. At home, the Phoenix have an ATS mark of 8-3 this year and have gone 6-3 over their last 10 home games vs. the spread. Over their last three games at home, Green Bay is just 1-2 ATS and they have gone 3-2 vs. the spread at home over their last five contests.

Green Bay’s over/under record this season is 13-12-1, and today’s line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (135.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 141 points.

The Green Bay offense is coming off a game where they scored 59 points against Purdue Fort Wayne. They posted a field goal percentage of 35% and connected on 7 threes. Will Eames was the leading scorer for the Phoenix, putting up 19 points. In addition, Clarence Cummings III contributed 13 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Green Bay defense is giving up an average of 67.5 points per contest. Green Bay’s three-point defense is currently 44th in the country at 5.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.5% of their shots vs. Green Bay.