Looking to win big? The Musketeers and Friars face off at 2:00 ET on FS1. The Friars are hosting the game at Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, RI. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 142.5 points, and the Friars are favored to win at home against the Musketeers.


The Pick: Providence Friars -3

This game will be played at Amica Mutual Pavilion at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Friars.
  • Not only will Providence pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Xavier Come Through as Road Underdogs?

As an underdog, Xavier has gone 1-5 this season. On the road, the Musketeers have a record of 1-4, and their average scoring margin is -2.8 points per game.

In their last game, Xavier lost to Connecticut by a score of 80-75. Over their last 10 road games, the Musketeers have gone 3-7.

When looking at Xavier’s ATS record this season, they have gone 9-5-1. As the underdog, the Musketeers are 4-1-1 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-2 and over their last 10 road games, they are 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Xavier games is 6-9 and today’s line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (147.8). So far, 7 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Recently, the average scoring total in their games is 137 points.

In their recent game, the Musketeers’ offense concluded with 75 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.6 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Quincy Olivari, who holds an average of 18.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Desmond Claude is averaging 14.8 points per game this season.

The Musketeers’ defense is presently ranked 130th nationally, allowing an average of 70.0 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Providence, the Xavier defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Xavier made 22 free-throws vs. the Musketeers.

Do the Friars Stand a Chance at Home?

Providence enters today’s game as the favorite, with a record of 9-2 in games where they have been favored. They have been dominant at home this season, going 10-2 with an average scoring margin of +13.1 points per game.

So far this season, the Friars have gone 2-3 in Big East play and 11-5 overall. They come into today’s game on a three-game losing streak, including a 75-73 loss to St. John’s in their most recent game.

As the favorite this season, Providence has gone 6-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Friars are 5-5 ATS.

Over their last three games, the over/under record for Providence is 1-2. On the season, their over/under record is 4-12. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 137.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (141.6).

The Providence offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against St. John’s. They posted a field goal percentage of 44.3% and connected on 8 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Devin Carter who comes into today’s matchup averaging 17.9. Josh Oduro also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.8.

Providence’s defense has been playing well, ranking 40th nationally, with 64.8 points allowed per game. Providence’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the St. John’s offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 75 points.