Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Musketeers and Huskies. The game is starting at 12:00 ET on FS1, and it’s hosted by the Huskies at XL Center in Hartford, CT. Get ready to place your bets! This Big East conference matchup has an over/under of 148 points, and Connecticut is favored to win by -11 at home vs. Xavier.


The Pick: Xavier Musketeers +11

This game will be played at XL Center at 12:00 ET on Sunday, January 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Huskies.
  • Even though we have Connecticut winning straight-up, we like Xavier at +11.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Are the Musketeers Ready for a Road Win?

Through 19 games, Xavier has a record of 10-9. In Big East play, the Musketeers are 4-4, and in non-conference games, they are 6-5. As the underdog, Xavier is just 2-6 this season.

On the road, the Musketeers have gone 2-5, and their average scoring margin is -0.1 points per game. In their last game, Xavier fell to Creighton, 85-78.

As the underdog this season, Xavier has an impressive ATS record of 6-1-1. On the road, the Musketeers are 5-2 vs. the spread and have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three road games. Overall, Xavier has an ATS mark of 12-6-1 this year.

Today’s over/under line of 148 is similar to the average over/under line in Xavier’s games this year (147.8). So far, the over/under record for the Musketeers is 10-9. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 167 points and their over/under record for their last three games is 3-0.

The Musketeers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 78 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 76.8 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Quincy Olivari, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.9, while Desmond Claude also carries a PPG average of 16.2 into the game.

At present, the Musketeers’ defense is nationally ranked 157th, allowing 71.7 points per game. Xavier’s three-point defense is currently 125th in the country at 7.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.0% of their shots vs. Xavier.

Can the Huskies Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Connecticut enters this game with a record of 17-2, including a perfect 12-0 mark at home. The Huskies have won seven straight games and are 7-1 in Big East play.

So far this season, Connecticut has been favored in 18 of their 19 games, going 17-1 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +24.7 points per game.

Overall, UConn has an ATS record of 10-8-1 this season. At home, the Huskies have gone 7-5 vs. the spread. Over their last three home games, UConn has a 2-1 ATS mark, while their ATS record as the favorite over their last three games is 1-2.

Today’s over/under line of 148 for the Connecticut Huskies’ game against Xavier is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (146). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 129 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Connecticut offense tallied 66 points in a matchup against Villanova. Their field goal percentage for the game was 40.8%, and they made 8 threes. Offensively, the Huskies hold a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, placing them 35th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 155th in terms of percentage and 78th in three-pointers made.

In the current season, the Connecticut defense has excelled, sitting 34th in the nation by allowing 64.6 points per game. The Connecticut defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 65 points and allowed Villanova to connect on 7 threes.