Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Raiders versus the Golden Grizzlies? Tip off is at at 3:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Athletics Center O’rena in Rochester, MI. The over/under for this Horizon League conference contest is set at 158.5 points, with Oakland being favored by -4.5 at home against Wright State.


The Pick: Oakland Golden Grizzlies -4.5

This game will be played at Athletics Center O’rena at 3:00 ET on Sunday, February 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Golden Grizzlies.
  • Not only will Oakland pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 158.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Is a Win at Rochester Possible for the Raiders?

Wright State heads into this game as a 4.5-point underdog, and they have gone 2-5 this season when they are the underdog. The Raiders are 16-12 overall, and they have won two straight games. In Horizon League play, Wright State is 11-6 compared to 5-6 in non-conference games.

On the road this season, Wright State is 6-6, and they have won four straight games away from home. For the year, the team has an average scoring margin of -0.4 points per game on the road. In their last game, the Raiders beat Detroit by a score of 93-78, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games.

As the underdog this season, Wright State has gone 3-4 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 6-6. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Raiders are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Wright State’s over/under record this season is 19-6-1 and this year’s games have averaged 167.8 points. Today’s over/under line is 158.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 158 points per game.

Wright State finished with 93 points in their game against Detroit. This total surpasses their season-average of 85.8 points per game. The top scorer for the Raiders was Trey Calvin with 25 points, while Brandon Noel also added 22 to the scoreboard.

Coming into the game, Wright State will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 80.6 points per game (330th). Wright State’s three-point defense is currently 215th in the country at 8.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.2% of their shots vs. Wright State.

Pressure Builds for Oakland as Home Favorites

At home, Oakland has been dominant this season, going 9-3 with an average scoring margin of +7.5. They have won seven straight games at home and are 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. For the season, Oakland is 13-4 when favored, and they are 19-10 overall.

Coming off a 63-43 win over Robert Morris, Oakland is 4-0 in their last four games. For the season, they have a record of 19-10, and in Horizon League play, they are 13-4. Their record in non-conference games is 6-6.

As the favorite, Oakland has a solid ATS record of 10-7 this season. Over their last three home games, the Golden Grizzlies are 3-0 vs. the spread and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 home games. Their overall ATS mark at home this year is 7-5.

Today’s over/under line of 158.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Oakland’s games this season (146.9). So far, 27 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Oakland offense tallied 63 points in a matchup against Robert Morris. Their field goal percentage for the game was 34.5%, and they made 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is Trey Townsend, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.7, while Jack Gohlke also carries a PPG average of 12 into the game.

The Golden Grizzlies’ defense is presently ranked 189th nationally, allowing an average of 72.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Robert Morris, the Colonials finished with a field goal percentage of 28% and a total of 43 points vs. Oakland.