Home Soccer World Friendly – Wales vs. USA – 11/12/20

World Friendly – Wales vs. USA – 11/12/20

The national and continental soccer competitions are on pause due to the international duties, but it doesn’t mean a break for the sports bettors who’ll have plenty of picks and markets to choose from in the next seven days.  

Wales hosts the USA at Liberty Stadium in Swansea in what should be the most interesting matchup for the bettors around the country. There are no huge stakes in friendly games like this one, but it’s a nice test for each team, so I’m breaking down the odds and team news to find the best betting pick for the Wales versus USA showdown.  

Wales vs. USA

Three-way: 1: Wales +140; X: +225 Draw; 2: USA +215   

Spread 0: Wales -140; USA +120 

Total 2.5 Goals: Over +125; Under -164

Both Teams to Score: Yes -108; No -118 

 

WALES 

The Dragons are preparing for the UEFA Nations League B. After their first four outings, the Dragons are topping the Group 4 standings with 10 points and a 3:0 goal difference. They beat Bulgaria twice and Finland once with an identical 1-0 result while playing a goalless draw against Ireland on the road. 

Last time out, Wales beat Bulgaria away from home thanks to Jonathan Williams’ goal late in the second half. The Dragons took 13 shots while surrendering just three in a return, and their defense has been exceptional over the last few months. 

Gareth Bale will lead the Dragons against the USA, as the 31-year-old forward scored 33 goals in 85 caps. The vast majority of this Wales team is playing in the English Premier League and Championship including midfielder Harry Wilson (19 caps, 3 goals) and centre-back Ethan Ampadu (18 caps). 

Betting Trends:

  • Wales won five of its last seven games overall 
  • None of Wales’ last seven games saw both teams scoring 
  • Nine of Wales’ previous ten contests produced fewer than three goals in total 

USA 

Due to the coronavirus pandemic, the USMNT will take the field for the first time since February when they beat Costa Rica 1-0 in a friendly matchup. Their last official game came against Cuba in November 2019, and the Yanks won 4-0 to clinch the top spot in the CONCACAF Nations League Group A. 

USA easily beat Cuba twice while splitting a two-game series with Canada. Striker Jordan Morris led the way for the Yanks with four goals; midfielder Weston McKennie netted three times, as well as the 20-year-old striker Josh Surgent. 

While McKennie will probably play against Wales, both Morris and Surgent will miss this clash, as the head coach Gregg Berhalter decided to give a chance to some other players. The 20-year-old Timothy Weah (8 caps, 1 goal) and the 19-year-old Ulysses Llanez (1 cap, 1 goal) will lead the Yanks’ frontline, while Christian Pulisic (34 caps, 14 goals) will be a key guy in the middle of the park. 

Betting Trends: 

  • USA won four of its last five games 
  • Two of the Yanks’ last eight games saw both teams scoring 

 

Match Prediction

Considering the betting trends and Wales’ recent form, we shouldn’t expect to see a lot of goals in this game. The Dragons kept their net intact in six of their previous seven games overall and none of these contests saw both teams finding the net. 

However, this is friendly and a bunch of guys will be fired up to prove their worth. The Yanks will have some young and talented guys up front, and Christian Pulisic’s presence is always important for the USMNT’s attacking game. 

On the other side, the Yanks’ defense is pretty inexperienced and will have a lot of problems to cope with Wales, especially when it comes to set pieces situations. Wales has a lot of players capable of scoring after the corner or a free-kick, and the Dragons are physically a very strong team. 

USA and Wales met each other just once, and the Yanks beat the Dragons 2-0 back in 2003. 

The Pick: Both Teams to Score YES at -108 

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