WNBA Finals Prediction: Minnesota Lynx at Los Angeles Sparks GAME 3

 

Last Updated: 2017-09-29

WNBA Finals Prediction: Minnesota Lynx at Los Angeles Sparks GAME 3WNBA Finals – Minnesota Lynx at Los Angeles Sparks GAME 3

Date/Time:  09-29-2017, 21:00 EDT

Spread: Los Angeles Sparks -3.5

Total: +155.5

In Game 3 of the 2017 WNBA Finals the second-seeded and defending champions Los Angeles Sparks (26-8) are hosting the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx (27-7) after the series being tied 1-1 in what is so far a thrilling matchup where both previous games were decided by one and two points.

In Game 2 on Tuesday there was a mirror situation like game 1, with Lynx having a huge first quarter and almost blowing it by the end of the game, but eventually managing to win with a 68-70 score, tying the series to 1-1 before it moves to Los Angeles for the next couple of games. Lynx destroyed Sparks in the opening quarter led by their choking defense, allowing just 10 points from the defending champions. They scored 28 and got an 18-point lead which they held until the halftime. But the tables turned in the second half where Lynx struggled mightily on offense, scoring just 25 points total while Sparks had 24 in the third quarter alone. Lynx were more calm in the final possessions and got away with the close win. All Lynx starters had double digits in scoring with Fowles having 13, adding a WNBA Finals record 17 rebounds. For Sparks, Parker had 17, while Ogwumike double doubled with 11 points and 13 rebounds.

This will be the 6th meeting between those two teams this season, with Los Angeles leading 3-2 wins, including two wins on the road. Los Angeles are 18-1 at home, while Minnesota are 13-5 on the road. Minnesota are better both offensively, scoring a league third-best 85.4 ppg to Los Angeles’ 83.5, and defensively, allowing a league-best 74.2 ppg to Los Angeles’ second-best of 75.2. Los Angeles have a slightly better field goal percentage, shooting with a league-best 48% to Minnesota’s 47.8% (second-best), while Minnesota have a better 3-point percentage, shooting with a second-best 37% to Los Angeles’ 34.2%. Lynx lead the league in assists made, with 20.4 ppg to Sparks’ 18.6, and are better in rebounding, grabbing 35.4 to Sparks’ third-worse of 31.1. Sparks commit less turnovers (13.3 to 14.3). Sparks have been almost perfect at home and expect them to win by more than 4 points tonight.

Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks -3.5 (-110)

 

 

 

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