WNBA Finals Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx GAME 5


Last Updated: 2017-10-04

WNBA Finals Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx GAME 5WNBA Finals – Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx GAME 5

Date/Time:  10-04-2017, 20:00 EDT

Spread: Minnesota Lynx -4.5

Total: +151.5

In the fifth and final game of the 2017 WNBA Finals the series moves back to Minnesota, when the top-seeded Lynx (27-7) are hosting once again the second-seeded and defending champions Los Angeles Sparks (26-8) in a game that will determine who will be crowned champion of the league.

In Game 4 on Sunday, it was time for the team with the best record in the WNBA this season to come up with a 10+ point victory on the road. Lynx played choking defense for three quarters and forced the defending champions into a home defeat with an 80-69 score, tying the series into two games apiece before it moves back to Minnesota for a do-or-die game for both squads. Lynx were extremely efficient defensively for the first three quarters of the game, allowing Sparks into 16, 15 and 13 points respectively, while always scoring 5 or more points, thus going into the fourth quarter with a commanding 17-point lead, pretty much having ended the game. They destroyed Sparks on the glass, out-rebounding them 48-28 and they saw two of their players posting double doubles. Fowles had a team high 22 points and 14 rebounds, while Brunson added 18 and 13 rebounds. For the Sparks, Sims had 18 and Ogwumike 17 points.

This will be the 8th meeting between those two teams this season, with Los Angeles leading 4-3 wins, including two wins on the road. Minnesota are 18-3 at home, while Los Angeles are 12-8 on the road. Minnesota are better both offensively, scoring a league third-best 85.4 ppg to Los Angeles’ 83.5, and defensively, allowing a league-best 74.2 ppg to Los Angeles’ second-best of 75.2. Los Angeles have a slightly better field goal percentage, shooting with a league-best 48% to Minnesota’s 47.8% (second-best), while Minnesota have a better 3-point percentage, shooting with a second-best 37% to Los Angeles’ 34.2%. Lynx lead the league in assists made, with 20.4 ppg to Sparks’ 18.6, and are better in rebounding, grabbing 35.4 to Sparks’ third-worse of 31.1. Sparks commit less turnovers (13.3 to 14.3). Sparks have been playing extremely well in tight situations like this and expect a closer game than a 5-point Lynx win, so pick Los Angeles in this one.

Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks +4.5 (-110)

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