Betting on today’s Badgers and Boilermakers game? Catch the action at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN, as the Boilermakers hosts this showdown at 12:30 ET on FOX. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 148.5 points, and Purdue is favored by -9 to win at home against Wisconsin.

WISCONSIN BADGERS VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Wisconsin Badgers +9

This game will be played at Mackey Arena at 12:30 ET on Sunday, March 10th.

WHY BET THE WISCONSIN BADGERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Boilermakers.
  • Even though we have Purdue winning straight-up, we like Wisconsin at +9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Does Wisconsin Stand a Chance on the Road?

Wisconsin enters this game as a 9-point underdog, and they have gone 4-5 as the underdog this season. The Badgers are 3-8 on the road this season, and they have lost five straight games away from home.

Overall, Wisconsin is 19-11 this season, including an 11-8 record in Big Ten play. In their last game, the Badgers defeated Rutgers by a score of 78-66.

Wisconsin has struggled against the spread this season, posting a 12-18 record. On the road, the Badgers are just 2-9 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Wisconsin has gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Wisconsin games this season (138.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 154 points.

In their previous game, the Badgers’ offense finished with 78 points, which is right in line with their current average of 74.6 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is AJ Storr, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.2, while Tyler Wahl also maintains a PPG average of 11.5 leading up to the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Wisconsin defense is giving up an average of 69.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Wisconsin’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 37.0% this season.

Will the Boilermakers Defense Show Up at Home?

With a record of 18-0 at home, Purdue has been dominant at Mackey Arena this season. The Boilermakers have won their last 18 games at home, and they have an average scoring margin of +19.9 points per game.

For the season, Purdue has been favored in 28 of their 30 games, and they have a record of 25-3 as the favorite. They have won their last four games, and they are 27-3 overall.

When looking at Purdue’s ATS record this season, they are currently 16-12-2. At home, they have gone 10-7-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers are 4-6 ATS.

Purdue’s over/under record this season sits at 19-10-1, and today’s line of 148.5 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games (148.4). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-4-1.

In contrast to their season average of 84.4 points per game, the Purdue had a below average performance. They scored 77 points against Illinois and had a field goal percentage of 48.3%. The team’s top scorer is Zach Edey, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 24.1, while Braden Smith also carries a PPG average of 13.1 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Purdue defense is giving up an average of 70.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Illinois, the Fighting Illini finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 71 points vs. Purdue.