One of four NCAAF Bowl games that will be played on Tuesday, December 27, will take place in Phoenix, AZ, and here you can get the best Badgers vs. Cowboys betting pick and odds.

Wisconsin and Oklahoma State will be fighting for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl and $1,625,560 of prize money when they meet at Chase Field. The Badgers are -3.5 favorites on BetOnline Sportsbook, while the total is set at 43 points. These non-conference rivals will face for the first time.

Badgers allowed ten in the final quarter in a loss to Minnesota

The Wisconsin Badgers (6-6-0, 7-5-0 ATS) ended the regular season with a 23-16 loss to the Minnesota Golden Gophers at home after allowing ten points in the final 15 minutes. The visitors were better in total yards (416-334), while the Badgers committed one turnover and failed to force a single one on the other end. Even so, Wisconsin will make it to the Bowl game for the 21st time in a row, which is the third-longest streak in football.

Graham Mertz completed 16 of 27 passes for 170 yards and an interception. Chez Mellusi led all the runners with 75 yards on 19 carries, Isaac Guerendo added 40 yards on seven attempts, while Chimere Dike converted his lone rushing attempt into a 9-yard touchdown. Dike led the team in receiving yards with 52 on five catches. When it comes to defense, Maema Njongmeta was rock-solid with a game-high 12 tackles.

QB Graham Mertz (transferred), QB Chase Wolf (knee), and RB Isaac Guerendo (transferred) are out and will not play on Tuesday against Oklahoma State.

Cowboys lost to West Virginia at home to close the regular season

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-5-0, 6-6-0 ATS) concluded the regular season with a couple of defeats to the Oklahoma Sooners and West Virginia Mountaineers. The Cowboys had a lead only once in the game and it was a 10-7 lead at halftime, after which the visitors controlled the situation and deservedly secured a 24-19 win. Since a 5-0 start of the year, the Cowboys lost five of seven games. They will be playing at the Bowl for the 16th straight time.

Garret Rangel completed 18 of 42 passes for 178 yards. Ollie Gordon was strong on the ground with a team-high 136 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries. Deondre Jackson had 56 yards on 12 attempts, while Brennan Presley scored a rushing TD with his only attempt. Brennan Presley contributed a game-high 77 receiving yards on five receptions, while Braydon Johnson added 60 on four catches. Defensively, Mason Cobb led the Cowboys with 11 tackles.

QB Spencer Sanders (transferred) and RB Dominic Richardson (transferred) are out. WR Blaine Green is dealing with an undefined injury, and his availability versus Wisconsin is unclear.

Trends:

Wisconsin:

  • 4-10 ATS in the last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game
  • 2-7 ATS in the last nine games vs. a team with a winning record

Oklahoma State:

  • 6-1 ATS in the last seven neutral site games
  • 6-0 ATS in the last six Bowl games
  • 20-7 ATS in the last 27 non-conference games

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Pick

Although each side has lost a veteran quarterback to the transfer portal, Oklahoma State will have Garret Rangel under the center, while Wisconsin will start freshman Myles Burkett, who had just five pass attempts this season. That’s the advantage for the Cowboys, in my opinion, even though they will be without leading running back Dominic Richardson (543 rushing yards). The Badgers have a new head coach Luke Fickell, who came from Cincinnati, so we can expect Wisconsin to have some difficulties, especially on offense. Oklahoma State is the 20th team in the country in pass offense with 283.8 yards per game.

Pick: Take the Cowboys at +3.5 (-110)

The Total

Considering that both teams will be without veteran quarterbacks, and the Cowboys cannot count on Dominic Richardson, I don’t think we will see plenty of points here. Wisconsin has a top 30 defense that allows 20.5 points per game, and its leading rusher Braelon Allen (1,126 yards) is playing, so I expect to see a lot of running from the Badgers. Under is 4-1 in the Badgers’ last 5 non-conference games; Under is 5-0 in the Cowboys’ previous five games overall, while Under is 6-2 in Oklahoma State’s last eight Bowl games.

Pick: Go Under 43.5 points (-120)