The Wisconsin Badgers (10-15, 3-9 Big 10) head to State Farm Center to go head-to-head with the Illinois Fighting Illini (12-12, 2-9 Big 10). The Badgers are 5.5-point underdogs and look to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 137 points and it begins at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 8, 2018.
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini ATS Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last matchup. The Fighting Illini fell to the 17th-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes, 75-67, while the Badgers were defeated by the Maryland Terrapins, 68-63.
Wisconsin had an offensive rebounding percentage of 35.3 (above their season average of 29.0) while Illinois forced Ohio State into a turnover percentage of 18.9 (above their season average of 15.4). Illinois received a boost from Mark Alstork, who put up 19 points. Meanwhile, Ethan Happ played well for Wisconsin, recording 18 points and nine rebounds.
This game should be a showdown of opposite tempos. Illinois has preferred to play up-tempo (50th in possessions per game), while Wisconsin has been more half-court-oriented (347th in possessions per game).
Badgers games have gone under the total 54.2 percent of the time. Wisconsin holds records of 10-15 straight up (SU) and 9-15 against the spread (ATS).
Games featuring the Fighting Illini have a tendency to finish under the total (60.0 percent). Further, Illinois is 12-12 SU and 10-10 ATS.
Trent Frazier has been exceptional recently for Illinois, averaging 15.8 points, 4.0 assists and 1.4 steals over the last five games.
In their first matchup this season, Happ led the Badgers to a 75-50 victory. He registered a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 125 points, which was under the projected point total of 133.5, and Wisconsin covered as a 5-point favorite. Wisconsin’s 0.327 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Illinois, who had a mark of 0.053.
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Wisconsin, ATS Winner – Wisconsin, O/U – Under
Illinois ranks 43rd in steals per game (7.5) while Wisconsin ranks 180th (5.4).
The Badgers allow the third-fewest three pointers per game (15.5) while the Fighting Illini rank 15th (17.7).
The Fighting Illini rank 183rd in rebounds per game (34.5) while the Badgers rank 269th (31.3).
Wisconsin averages 3.4 blocks per game, which ranks 109th in the nation. Illinois ranks 183rd in blocks allowed per game (4.5).
Illinois is 5-5 ATS at home, while Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS on the road.
Of the Badgers’ 11 road games, they have 8 unders, 2 pushes and 1 over.
The Fighting Illini have 5 overs, 4 unders and 1 push in 10 home games.
In their last five games, Wisconsin and Illinois are both 2-3 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
The Badgers have been outscored by an average of 11.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Wisconsin has defeated opponents by an average of 0.6 points.
During their last five games, the Fighting Illini have scored an average of 71.0 points per game (6.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.6 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
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