Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues Free Pick 4/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-04-14

The Winnipeg Jets and the St. Louis Blues are ready to clash at the Enterprise Center in Game 3 of the postseason’s first round. CNBC, CBC, RSN and FSMW will broadcast this Central Division matchup, and the opening face-off takes place at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 14.

Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues Odds

Winnipeg (+140) is playing the role of underdog to St. Louis (-160), and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals (-135 to bet the under, +115 for the over).

The Blues are 47-37 straight up (SU) and have netted moneyline bettors 4.0 units this year. That winning percentage, the second-best in the Central Division in this young season, is right in line with the 44-38 record the team posted during the 2017-18 season campaign. 44 of the team’s 84 outings have gone under the total, while 35 have gone over and just five have pushed. The team’s 24-17 SU at home this year.

St. Louis’ offense attempted 31.7 shots per game in the regular season, leading to 3.0 goals per outing (ranked 14th overall in the NHL). In the postseason, the club’s dropped to an average of 29.0 shots on goal ( 3.0 goals per game).

After producing the eighth-strongest power-play unit in the regular season (scoring on 20.5 percent of all opportunities), the Blues have yet to find net in the playoffs.

With a .905 save percentage and 25.1 saves per game, Jake Allen (19-27-8) has been the principal goalkeeper for the Blues this year. If head coach Craig Berube chooses to give him the evening off, however, the team could turn to Jordan Binnington (26-8-8 record, .927 save percentage, 1.89 goals against average).

The Blue Notes will continue to rely on leadership from Ryan O’Reilly and Vladimir Tarasenko. O’Reilly (78 points) has tallied 29 goals and 49 assists and has recorded two or more points in 20 different games this year. Tarasenko has 33 goals and 35 assists to his name and has recorded at least one point in 46 games.

Winnipeg is 47-37 straight up (SU) and has lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 84 regular season contests, 42 of its games have gone over the total, while 35 have gone under the total and just seven have pushed. As an away team, Winnipeg is 22-19 SU.

Winnipeg has converted on 25.2 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that’s good enough for fourth-best in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 23rd overall and it’s successfully killed off 79.7 percent of all penalties.

Winnipeg’s skaters have been penalized 3.7 times per game this season, and 3.1 per game over their last ten contests. The team’s had to defend opponent power plays just 6.7 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Connor Hellebuyck (29.6 saves per game) has been the primary choice in the net for Winnipeg. Hellebuyck owns a 34-31-3 record, and has registered a .912 save percentage and 2.91 goals against average this year.

Blake Wheeler (21 goals, 72 assists) has been one of the most vital playmakers on offense for the visiting Jets.

Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues Betting Predictions

Pick: SU Winner – Blues, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

For both of these clubs, the total has gone over in three of their past five outings.

Power plays and penalty kills could prove to be key in the outcome of this matchup. The Jets are 22-14 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 29-27 when they’re in the box for fewer than 10 penalty minutes, total. The Blues are 23-19 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 35-25 in games where they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.

St. Louis skaters have created 11.6 takeaways per game over its last five home games, an improvement over its season average of 8.3 takeaways per game (ranked 8th in the league).

Winnipeg is ranked 15th in the league this season with 7.6 takeaways per game. That figure has trended down recently, however, as the team has managed 6.7 takeaways over its last 10 games and 5.2 takeaways over its last five.

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